Get an alert the moment thigh.bird trades.
Their next buy lands on your phone and Telegram with the market, the side and the price.
Stats as of
thigh.bird
+$26.12
- Tracked Trades
- 815
- First Seen
- Mar 4, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 31, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 21% won · 351 settled · +$964.09
thigh.bird is a Kalshi trader with 815 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 253 wins and 475 losses on settled markets, $26.12 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026DABGGUOATC35Y4YD-2U7EYETF5 on Oct 31.
- Win rate
- 35%
- Return on settled
- +0%
- Money traded
- $48.8K
- Typical trade
- $14.22
- Avg entry
- 15¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,947
Profit over time
+$642.00-$1.6K
Mar 4Oct 31
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3117%6%-2 pts
20 to 40¢12429%39%+10 pts
40 to 60¢15250%40%-10 pts
60 to 80¢12670%63%-7 pts
Over 80¢10290%91%+1 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $520421%-$170.93
$5 to $1420426%-$341.72
$14 to $4720442%+$173.83
$47 to $3.6K20351%+$364.94
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays37921%+$964.09
Soccer16355%-$627.99
Baseball5560%-$81.29
Bitcoin15233%-$46.73
Tennis3067%-$86.43
Basketball367%+$9.77
Side taken
Yes 83%17% No
If you had copied thigh.bird
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$2,581.00
Profit
on $20,000.00 staked
31-169
Record
16% win rate
-13%
Return
+$0.00-$5.1K
Aug 3Oct 26
-$6.2K
Max drawdown
1470% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.85×
Profit factor
$14.3K won vs $16.9K lost
-1.4 pts
Edge vs implied
16% won at 17¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 20
- Deepest drawdown
- 173 trades
By category
crypto5 settled-8%
sports195 settled-13%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026DABGGUOATC35Y4YD-2U7EYETF5
Oct 31
yes Rosario,yes Racing Avellaneda,yes Gimnasia La Plata,yes Criciuma,yes Corinthians,yes Bayern Munich,yes Leverkusen,yes Coquimbo,yes Bucaramanga,yes Barcelona,yes Atletico,yes Real Betis,yes Columbus,yes Charlotte,yes Bologna,yes Roma
Oct 31
yes Bayern Munich,yes Barcelona,yes Atletico,yes Real Betis,yes Bologna
Oct 31
Biggest wins
- 1+$997.85yes Bayern Munich,yes Over 0.5 1H goals scored,yes Barcelona,yes PSG,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Inter,yes Roma$93.89 on Yes at 9¢, Oct 17
- 2+$983.61yes River Plate,yes Flamengo,yes Monterrey,yes Columbus,yes Buffalo,yes Kansas City$90.20 on Yes at 8¢, Oct 18
- 3+$833.85yes Both Teams To Score,yes Al-Khaleej,yes Al Nassr wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Al Qadsiah wins by more than 1.5 goals$19.63 on Yes at 2¢, Oct 29
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
no Stuttgart wins the 1H by more than 1.5 goals,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Porto,yes Liverpool,yes Manchester City,yes Barcelona,yes Roma,yes Dortmund,yes PSG: 5+,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored3¢20%-$93.53
yes Club Guarani,yes Trinidense,no Over 3.5 goals scored,no Over 3.5 goals scored,no Over 3.5 goals scored,no Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Criciuma,yes Corinthians,yes Coquimbo,yes Bucaramanga,no Pereira wins by more than 1.5 goals2¢20%-$37.36
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026UEA75R5LFR5QY7XD-OCSAZUIL21+$0.00
yes Rosario,yes Racing Avellaneda,yes Gimnasia La Plata,yes Criciuma,yes Corinthians,yes Bayern Munich,yes Leverkusen,yes Coquimbo,yes Bucaramanga,yes Barcelona,yes Atletico,yes Real Betis,yes Columbus,yes Charlotte,yes Bologna,yes Roma0¢20%-$4.57
yes Club Brugge,yes Colo-Colo,yes Villarreal,yes Espanyol: 4+,yes Sporting CP,no Le Havre wins 1st Half,yes PSG,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Galatasaray5¢20%-$93.75
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 3Oct 31
Profit by month
Mar 2026+$386.33
Apr 2026-$392.78
May 2026-$109.16
Jun 2026+$188.58
Jul 2026-$691.88
Aug 2026-$112.24
Sep 2026-$600.41
Oct 2026+$1.4K
Kalshi leaderboards
Similar Kalshi traders
Build a bot that copies thigh.bird.
Bring thigh.bird into the builder. Choose your size and review the backtest. Track new trades on paper or enable supported live copying through your own Kalshi account. Set your limits and inspect each execution from the bot dashboard.