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Stats as of
thin.plover7559
+$2.8K
- Tracked Trades
- 105
- First Seen
- Sep 14, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 8, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 43% won · 14 settled · +$2.1K
thin.plover7559 is a Kalshi trader with 105 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 46 wins and 57 losses on settled markets, $2.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Green Bay,yes San Francisco on Nov 8.
- Win rate
- 45%
- Return on settled
- +33%
- Money traded
- $8.5K
- Typical trade
- $24.17
- Avg entry
- 49¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,303
Profit over time
+$2.8K-$245.00
Sep 14Nov 8
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢129%0%-9 pts
20 to 40¢1731%53%+22 pts
40 to 60¢5650%48%-2 pts
60 to 80¢1663%50%-13 pts
Over 80¢493%100%+7 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $192731%-$132.82
$19 to $242631%-$147.79
$24 to $252642%-$150.11
$25 to $2.2K2676%+$3.2K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
NFL5443%-$107.72
Parlays1443%+$2.1K
Baseball683%+$498.50
College football1656%+$435.20
Bitcoin1218%-$111.44
MMA20%-$43.55
Side taken
Yes 88%12% No
If you had copied thin.plover7559
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$268.69
Profit
on $9,900.00 staked
45-54
Record
45% win rate
-3%
Return
+$0.00-$1.4K
Sep 14Nov 2
-$2.0K
Max drawdown
560% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.95×
Profit factor
$5.1K won vs $5.4K lost
-0.6 pts
Edge vs implied
45% won at 46¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 10
- Deepest drawdown
- 45 trades
By category
sports91 settled+0%
crypto8 settled-34%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Green Bay,yes San Francisco
Nov 8, 2 fills
Dallas wins by over 3.5 points?
Nov 8
yes Dallas,yes Denver,yes Houston,yes San Francisco,yes Chicago
Nov 8
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.0Kyes Green Bay,yes San Francisco$2.2K on Yes at 68¢, Nov 8
- 2+$847.02yes Arizona St.,yes Iowa,yes Notre Dame,yes Georgia,yes Tennessee$478.52 on Yes at 36¢, Nov 8
- 3+$552.00Dallas wins by over 3.5 points?$648.00 on Yes at 54¢, Nov 8
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Green Bay,yes San Francisco68¢1100%+$1.0K
Miami wins63¢3100%+$435.56
Dallas wins by over 3.5 points?54¢1100%+$552.00
Kansas City wins by over 3.5 points?55¢10%-$629.98
yes Arizona St.,yes Iowa,yes Notre Dame,yes Georgia,yes Tennessee36¢1100%+$847.02
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 11Nov 8
Profit by month
Sep 2026-$163.52
Oct 2026-$72.06
Nov 2026+$3.0K
Kalshi leaderboards
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