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Stats as of
thisguy
+$44
- Tracked Trades
- 1,000
- First Seen
- Oct 4, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 16, 2026
- Best In Commodities
- 78% won · 292 settled · +$51
thisguy is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 275 wins and 78 losses on settled markets, $44 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 16.
- Win rate
- 78%
- Return on settled
- +2%
- Money traded
- $6.8K
- Typical trade
- $6
- Avg entry
- 75¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,756
Profit over time
+$119-$17
Oct 4Oct 16
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1619%10%+1 pts
20 to 40¢9129%42%+13 pts
40 to 60¢10051%44%-7 pts
60 to 80¢13270%72%+2 pts
Over 80¢51694%96%+2 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $125054%-$5
$1 to $625067%-$14
$6 to $1025084%+$9
$10 to $6825096%+$55
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Commodities84878%+$51
Bitcoin7252%+$2
Other crypto47100%+$3
Solana950%-$5
Ethereum9100%+$2
XRP1583%-$8
Side taken
Yes 49%51% No
If you had copied thisguy
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$267
Profit
on $35300 staked
275-78
Record
78% win rate
+1%
Return
+$461-$1.5K
Sep 28Oct 12
-$2.0K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.03×
Profit factor
$8.1K won vs $7.8K lost
+2.1 pts
Edge vs implied
78% won at 76¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 5
- Deepest drawdown
- 156 trades
By category
finance292 settled+5%
crypto61 settled-17%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 16, 2 fills
WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 16, 2 fills
Natural Gas price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 16, 5 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$55WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?$42 on No at 43¢, Oct 7
- 2+$21WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?$19 on Yes at 48¢, Oct 16
- 3+$16Gold price up in next 15 mins?$114 on No at 88¢, Oct 4
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?65¢30264%-$35
Silver price up in next 15 mins?81¢9289%+$19
Natural Gas price up in next 15 mins?86¢8791%+$14
Copper price up in next 15 mins?80¢10474%-$7
Gold price up in next 15 mins?84¢7887%+$22
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 19Oct 16
Profit by month
Oct 2026+$44
Kalshi leaderboards
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