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Stats as of

Kalshi

thread.sake

+$73.12
Tracked Trades
113
First Seen
Mar 5, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In Parlays
15% won · 46 settled · +$154.11

thread.sake is a Kalshi trader with 113 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 11 wins and 47 losses on settled markets, $73.12 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Barcelona,yes Inter,yes Roma,yes Liverpool,yes Manchester City,yes PSG wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Arsenal wins by more than 1.5 goals on Nov 3.

Win rate
19%
Return on settled
+20%
Money traded
$2.1K
Typical trade
$4.69
Avg entry
2¢
Kalshi rank
#5,027

Profit over time

+$85.00-$204.00
Mar 19Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢685%8%+3 pts
20 to 40¢1828%36%+8 pts
40 to 60¢1149%17%-32 pts
60 to 80¢970%75%+5 pts
Over 80¢795%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $22914%-$10.02
$2 to $52828%+$98.80
$5 to $92813%-$64.98
$9 to $6842820%+$49.32

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays9616%+$154.21
Baseball520%-$78.82
Tennis625%+$7.17
College football20%-$7.28
NFL2100%+$14.25
College basketball250%-$16.41

Side taken

Yes 85%15% No

If you had copied thread.sake

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$4,861.72
Profit
on $4,700.00 staked
9-38
Record
19% win rate
+103%
Return
26 still open
Profit over time47 settled trades
+$4.9K-$531.46
Aug 24Nov 2
-$1.8K
Max drawdown
1068% below peak
2.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.28×
Profit factor
$8.7K won vs $3.8K lost
+2.6 pts
Edge vs implied
19% won at 17¢ avg
Longest losing streak
18
Deepest drawdown
18 trades

By category

sports47 settled+103%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

26 open positions worth $134.35

The markets thread.sake is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what thread.sake is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Barcelona,yes Inter,yes Roma,yes Liverpool,yes Manchester City,yes PSG wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Arsenal wins by more than 1.5 goals
Nov 3
Yes1¢$9.28-$9.28
yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score
Nov 3
Yes3¢$2.34-$2.34
yes Bayern Munich,yes Barcelona,yes Inter,yes Galatasaray,yes Manchester United,yes PSG
Nov 3
Yes2¢$2.33+$120.30
See every position across 93 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Louisville,yes Iowa,yes Wyoming,yes BYU wins by over 10.5 points
    $9.36 on Yes at 5¢, Oct 9
    +$177.84
  2. 2
    yes Bayern Munich,yes Barcelona,yes Inter,yes Galatasaray,yes Manchester United,yes PSG
    $2.33 on Yes at 2¢, Nov 3
    +$120.30
  3. 3
    Keisuke Saitoh wins
    $19.19 on Yes at 40¢, Oct 9
    +$28.79
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Boston,yes San Antonio,yes Philadelphia,yes Orlando,yes Los Angeles L,yes Indiana,yes Washington,yes Minnesota,yes Portland1¢20%-$4.40
yes Jake Ferguson: 1+,yes Javonte Williams: 1+,yes Bucky Irving: 1+6¢20%-$14.06
yes Louisville,yes Iowa,yes Wyoming,yes BYU wins by over 10.5 points5¢2100%+$177.84
yes Louisville,yes Washington,yes San Jose St.,yes Winnipeg,yes Washington,yes New York,yes Las Vegas3¢20%-$4.67
yes Denzel Boston: 25+,yes Deshaun Watson: 30+,yes Quinshon Judkins: 50+,yes Quinshon Judkins: 1+,yes Darnell Washington: 1+,yes Edmonton,yes Florida1¢20%-$0.81

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Mar 2026-$27.61
Apr 2026-$9.13
Aug 2026-$25.19
Sep 2026-$9.51
Oct 2026+$45.43
Nov 2026+$99.13

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