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Stats as of

tm33

-$265
Tracked Trades
272
First Seen
Oct 16, 2025
Last Trade
Feb 9, 2026

tm33 is a Kalshi trader with 272 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 64 wins and 170 losses on settled markets, -$265 net profit on those trades.

Win rate
27%
Return on settled
-31%
Money traded
$1.2K
Typical trade
$1
Avg entry
31¢
Kalshi rank
#5,082

Profit over time

+$0-$265
Oct 16Feb 9

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢425%0%-5 pts
20 to 40¢2635%8%-27 pts
40 to 60¢13548%27%-21 pts
60 to 80¢5366%76%+10 pts
Over 80¢1690%0%-90 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $16821%-$18
$1 to $16813%-$44
$2 to $56839%-$27
$5 to $566842%-$175

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Weather21834%-$176
NFL520%-$30
Golf30%-$12
Mentions260%-$23
Entertainment110%-$14
Bitcoin2100%+$10

Side taken

Yes 78%22% No

If you had copied tm33

$100 per trade, last 90 days

Nothing to simulate

We have not tracked an entry from tm33 in the last 90 days.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Cristina Bucsa win the Yastremska vs Bucsa : Round Of 64 match?
Feb 9
Yes45¢$9-$9
Will Charlie Kirk be on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 – Shortlist?
Dec 8
Yes39¢$5-$5
Will Jahmyr Gibbs lead American Pro Football League in Most Rushing Touchdowns for the 2025-2026 Regular Season?
Dec 8, 2 fills
Yes49¢$4-$4
See every position across 81 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the **high temp in LA** be >68° on Dec 6, 2025?
    $97 on Yes at 63¢, Dec 6
    +$56
  2. 2
    Will the **high temp in NYC** be 32-33° on Dec 5, 2025?
    $67 on Yes at 56¢, Dec 5
    +$52
  3. 3
    Will the **high temp in Philadelphia** be 33-34° on Dec 5, 2025?
    $39 on Yes at 55¢, Dec 5
    +$33
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the **high temp in Denver** be 39-40° on Dec 5, 2025?40¢430%-$49
Will the **high temp in Austin** be 56-57° on Dec 5, 2025?40¢160%-$42
Will the **high temp in LA** be >68° on Dec 6, 2025?63¢8100%+$56
Will the **high temp in Austin** be 74-75° on Dec 6, 2025?59¢80%-$97
Will the **high temp in Denver** be 41-42° on Dec 5, 2025?51¢110%-$24

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Nov 12Feb 9

Profit by month

Oct 2025-$13
Nov 2025-$12
Dec 2025-$230
Feb 2026-$9

Kalshi leaderboards

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