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Stats as of
tmill
+$545.50
- Tracked Trades
- 628
- First Seen
- Oct 18, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 24, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 10% won · 461 settled · +$1.3K
tmill is a Kalshi trader with 628 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 61 wins and 485 losses on settled markets, $545.50 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026VV5P3ZB2VYXOUMYM-XS7IMUOKF on Oct 24.
- Win rate
- 11%
- Return on settled
- +7%
- Money traded
- $19.5K
- Typical trade
- $12.86
- Avg entry
- 9¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,220
Profit over time
+$546.00-$1.9K
Oct 18Oct 24
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4509%8%-1 pts
20 to 40¢7526%21%-5 pts
40 to 60¢2947%38%-9 pts
60 to 80¢1669%20%-49 pts
Over 80¢5893%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $915712%-$281.40
$9 to $131577%+$1.9K
$13 to $2115715%+$702.02
$21 to $2.3K15710%-$1.8K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays52510%+$1.3K
Golf160%-$189.39
MMA2610%-$371.21
NFL1823%-$157.77
College football2735%+$22.63
Boxing60%-$62.02
Side taken
Yes 87%13% No
If you had copied tmill
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$18,054.71
Profit
on $19,000.00 staked
15-175
Record
8% win rate
+95%
Return
+$18.1K-$7.8K
Aug 3Oct 19
-$8.7K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
2.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.03×
Profit factor
$35.6K won vs $17.5K lost
-3.5 pts
Edge vs implied
8% won at 11¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 38
- Deepest drawdown
- 187 trades
By category
sports190 settled+95%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026VV5P3ZB2VYXOUMYM-XS7IMUOKF
Oct 24
yes BYU,yes Iowa,yes Oregon,yes Indiana,yes LSU
Oct 24
yes Cameron Rowston,yes Bolaji Oki,yes Losene Keita,yes Kody Steele
Oct 23
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.5Kyes Atlanta wins by over 2.5 points,no Milwaukee wins by over 1.5 points,no Indiana wins by over 6.5 points,no San Antonio wins by over 5.5 points,no Los Angeles L wins by over 9.5 points,yes Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points,no Utah wins by over 3.5 points,yes Portland wins by over 7.5 points,yes Toronto wins by over 5.5 points$9.26 on Yes at 0¢, Oct 23
- 2+$363.71yes Dallas,yes Jacksonville,yes Kansas City,yes Los Angeles R,yes Chicago$18.74 on Yes at 5¢, Oct 4
- 3+$209.23yes Boston University,yes Kansas,no McNeese wins by over 3.5 Points,no North Carolina wins by over 13.5 Points$13.83 on Yes at 6¢, Feb 2
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026VV5P3ZB2VYXOUMYM-XS7IMUOKF1+$0.00
yes Green Bay,yes Cincinnati,yes Los Angeles C,yes Detroit,yes Houston,yes New England,yes San Francisco2¢20%-$9.34
yes Dallas,yes Jacksonville,yes Kansas City,yes Los Angeles R,yes Chicago5¢2100%+$363.71
Will Patrick Cantlay win the The American Express?5¢30%-$28.20
yes Jake Ferguson: 1+,yes Tetairoa McMillan: 1+,yes Brock Bowers: 1+3¢20%-$9.36
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 27Oct 24
Profit by month
Nov 2025-$124.33
Dec 2025-$612.16
Jan 2026-$234.57
Feb 2026+$419.60
Mar 2026-$157.27
Apr 2026+$153.18
May 2026+$8.98
Jun 2026+$18.24
Jul 2026+$31.20
Aug 2026-$135.43
Sep 2026-$448.39
Oct 2026+$1.7K
Kalshi leaderboards
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