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Stats as of
TMill4Real
tmill4real
+$3.8K
- Tracked Trades
- 195
- First Seen
- Dec 28, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 5, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 16% won · 143 settled · +$3.4K
TMill4Real is a Kalshi trader with 195 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 43 wins and 149 losses on settled markets, $3.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026ED982C24F0F-86F1F1C12C5 on Oct 5.
- Win rate
- 22%
- Return on settled
- +25%
- Money traded
- $21.6K
- Typical trade
- $48.96
- Avg entry
- 8¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,941
Profit over time
+$4.9K-$188.00
Dec 28Oct 4
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1229%11%+1 pts
20 to 40¢3427%21%-7 pts
40 to 60¢2047%68%+21 pts
60 to 80¢1569%50%-19 pts
Over 80¢492%100%+8 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $194927%+$32.59
$20 to $494920%-$753.22
$50 to $94498%+$2.5K
$94 to $5.6K4836%+$1.9K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays14516%+$3.4K
MMA3250%+$1.3K
Baseball1100%+$9.32
NFL40%-$330.26
Golf30%-$282.39
Boxing250%-$212.69
Side taken
Yes 98%2% No
If you had copied TMill4Real
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$2,175.60
Profit
on $5,200.00 staked
10-42
Record
19% win rate
+42%
Return
+$2.6K-$521.60
Aug 3Sep 28
-$1.6K
Max drawdown
56% below peak
1.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.52×
Profit factor
$6.4K won vs $4.2K lost
+2.7 pts
Edge vs implied
19% won at 17¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 12
- Deepest drawdown
- 28 trades
By category
sports52 settled+42%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026ED982C24F0F-86F1F1C12C5
Oct 5
yes Indianapolis,yes Daniel Jones: 175+,yes Marcus Mariota: 175+,yes Josh Downs: 40+,yes Jonathan Taylor: 1+,yes Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 1+
Oct 4
yes Payton Talbott,yes Esteban Ribovics,yes Natalia Silva
Oct 4
Biggest wins
- 1+$3.1Kyes Curtis Blaydes,yes Alexa Grasso,yes Thomas Gantt,yes Tommy McMillen,yes Brandon Moreno$93.55 on Yes at 3¢, Sep 12
- 2+$1.9Kyes Kyoji Horiguchi,yes Rizvan Kuniev,yes Mario Bautista,yes Dustin Jacoby,yes Daniil Donchenko$211.19 on Yes at 10¢, Feb 8
- 3+$1.8Kyes Atlanta,yes Minnesota,yes Sean Strickland$90.80 on Yes at 5¢, May 10
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026ED982C24F0F-86F1F1C12C51+$0.00
yes New York M,yes Atlanta,yes Minnesota92¢1100%+$76.15
New York Y vs Baltimore Winner?99¢1100%+$9.32
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026F53860C0A71-C8D5D5ADC551+$0.00
yes Mansur Abdul-Malik,yes Esteban Ribovics,yes Mackenzie Dern,yes Islam Makhachev,yes Kaue Fernandes18¢10%-$472.65
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 8Oct 5
Profit by month
Dec 2025-$92.84
Feb 2026+$1.3K
Mar 2026-$702.65
Apr 2026-$477.52
May 2026+$1.4K
Jun 2026+$1.9K
Jul 2026-$951.11
Aug 2026-$366.10
Sep 2026+$1.6K
Oct 2026+$64.59
Kalshi leaderboards
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