rivomarkets

Stats as of

tonytails

+$7.9K
Tracked Trades
2,669
First Seen
Aug 6, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 13, 2026
Best In NFL
73% won · 391 settled · +$6.9K

tonytails is a Kalshi trader with 2,669 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 750 wins and 312 losses on settled markets, $7.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Blake Corum: 3+ touchdowns on Oct 13.

Win rate
71%
Return on settled
+4%
Money traded
$307.0K
Typical trade
$19
Avg entry
61¢
Kalshi rank
#778

Profit over time

+$7.9K-$5.9K
Aug 6Oct 13

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢52012%7%-5 pts
20 to 40¢49729%35%+6 pts
40 to 60¢57051%50%-1 pts
60 to 80¢49969%84%+16 pts
Over 80¢58392%94%+2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $566862%-$16
$5 to $1966769%+$96
$19 to $7466772%+$1.6K
$74 to $6.9K66775%+$6.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
NFL122673%+$6.9K
College football69272%-$2.0K
Baseball51955%+$640
Tennis4467%+$1.3K
Soccer11983%-$82
MMA26100%+$797

Side taken

Yes 71%29% No

If you had copied tonytails

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$7289
Profit
on $106200 staked
750-312
Record
71% win rate
+7%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time1062 settled trades
+$11.2K+$0
Aug 3Oct 12
-$8.0K
Max drawdown
63% below peak
0.9×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.23×
Profit factor
$38.5K won vs $31.2K lost
+4.0 pts
Edge vs implied
71% won at 67¢ avg
Longest losing streak
26
Deepest drawdown
524 trades

By category

other592 settled+12%
sports465 settled+1%
culture5 settled-27%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Blake Corum: 3+ touchdowns
Oct 13, 2 fills
No99¢$340+$3
Los Angeles R wins
Oct 13
No41¢$1.4K+$2.0K
Justice Hill: 1+ touchdowns
Oct 12, 5 fills
Sold Yessold 10¢$33Exited
See every position across 451 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Seattle wins
    $868 on No at 17¢, Sep 1
    +$4.1K
  2. 2
    KXNFLTD-26OCT04KCLV-KCRRICE4-1
    $6.2K on No at 64¢, Oct 4
    +$3.5K
  3. 3
    TreVeyon Henderson: 1+ touchdowns
    $8.4K on No at 72¢, Oct 11
    +$3.3K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Full Game: over 25.5 points scored?80¢940%+$950
UNLV over 9.5 points scored95¢40100%+$332
KXNFLTD-26OCT11LVNE-NETHENDERSON32-172¢1100%+$2.7K
KXNFLTD-26OCT04KCLV-KCRRICE4-164¢1100%+$3.5K
Zach Ertz: 2+ touchdowns99¢4100%+$60

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 16Oct 13

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$2.5K
Sep 2026-$2.2K
Oct 2026+$12.6K

Kalshi leaderboards

Similar Kalshi traders

Build a bot that copies tonytails.

Bring tonytails into the builder. Choose your size and review the backtest. Track new trades on paper or enable supported live copying through your own Kalshi account. Set your limits and inspect each execution from the bot dashboard.