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Stats as of
cneisen3
+$4.4K
- Tracked Trades
- 537
- First Seen
- Apr 3, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 17, 2026
- Best In NFL
- 43% won · 14 settled · +$9.9K
cneisen3 is a Kalshi trader with 537 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 95 wins and 419 losses on settled markets, $4.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Rafael Jodar,yes Ole Miss,yes Alabama,yes Michigan,yes Baltimore,yes Buffalo,yes Kansas City,yes Indianapolis,yes Jacoby Brissett: 200+,yes C.J. Stroud: 250+,yes Geno Smith: 200+,yes Chuba Hubbard: 70+,yes Cam Skattebo: 50+,yes Jaylen Warren: 60+,yes Golden State,yes Sonay Kartal on Oct 17.
- Win rate
- 18%
- Return on settled
- +2%
- Money traded
- $2.5M
- Typical trade
- $235.18
- Avg entry
- 1¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,716
Profit over time
+$61.7K-$7.8K
Apr 3Oct 17
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3284%5%+0 pts
20 to 40¢7631%22%-8 pts
40 to 60¢10251%50%+0 pts
60 to 80¢2064%63%+0 pts
Over 80¢1196%100%+4 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $921356%+$16.3K
$92 to $23513415%-$8.2K
$235 to $75213422%-$14.4K
$753 to $879K13432%+$10.7K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays3749%+$5.1K
Tennis11144%-$8.2K
NFL1543%+$9.9K
College football1636%-$774.40
WNBA838%-$1.1K
Golf30%-$582.93
Side taken
Yes 95%5% No
If you had copied cneisen3
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$8,288.96
Profit
on $30,700.00 staked
66-241
Record
21% win rate
+27%
Return
+$19.1K-$453.58
Aug 3Oct 12
-$10.9K
Max drawdown
57% below peak
0.8×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.34×
Profit factor
$32.4K won vs $24.1K lost
-0.8 pts
Edge vs implied
21% won at 22¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 102
- Deepest drawdown
- 126 trades
By category
other137 settled+136%
culture23 settled-27%
sports147 settled-66%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Rafael Jodar,yes Ole Miss,yes Alabama,yes Michigan,yes Baltimore,yes Buffalo,yes Kansas City,yes Indianapolis,yes Jacoby Brissett: 200+,yes C.J. Stroud: 250+,yes Geno Smith: 200+,yes Chuba Hubbard: 70+,yes Cam Skattebo: 50+,yes Jaylen Warren: 60+,yes Golden State,yes Sonay Kartal
Oct 17
yes Alabama wins by over 4.5 points,yes Cincinnati,yes Texas,yes Ole Miss,yes Michigan St.,yes Boston College,yes Kansas St.,yes Ohio St.,yes Michigan,yes Golden State wins by over 1.5 points
Oct 17
yes Cincinnati,yes Northwestern,yes Pittsburgh,yes Maryland,yes SMU,yes Western Michigan,yes Prairie View A&M,yes Butler,yes Kansas St.,yes Davidson,yes Dartmouth,yes Drake,yes Indiana,yes Presbyterian,yes South Dakota St.,yes Texas wins by over 9.5 points,yes Golden State
Oct 17
Biggest wins
- 1+$37.9Kyes Alex Barrena,yes Alejandro Moro Canas,yes Anna Blinkova,yes Iva Jovic,yes Kaitlin Quevedo,yes Nadia Podoroska,yes Paula Badosa$1.5K on Yes at 4¢, Sep 18
- 2+$15.2Kyes Over 37.5 games,yes Over 31.5 games,yes Over 34.5 games,yes Luciano Darderi,yes Alejandro Tabilo,yes Francisco Cerundolo,yes Michael Zheng,yes Marie Bouzkova,yes Madison Keys,yes Alexandra Eala,yes Naomi Osaka,yes Amanda Anisimova,yes Elise Mertens,yes Coco Gauff,yes Iva Jovic,yes Anastasia Potapova$90.34 on Yes at 1¢, Sep 3
- 3+$8.7KDenver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Kansas City wins?$10.7K on Yes at 55¢, Sep 14
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Karen Khachanov,yes Jaume Munar,no San Diego wins by over 2.5 runs,yes Louisiana,yes Arizona St.,yes BYU,yes Harvard,yes Washington St.,yes Georgia Southern,yes Northern Arizona,yes Temple,yes Texas Tech,yes East Texas A&M,yes USC,yes Weber St.,no Louisiana Tech wins by over 7.5 points,yes Aryna Sabalenka0¢20%-$879.09
yes Alex de Minaur,yes Karen Khachanov,yes Jaume Munar,yes Tampa Bay,yes Milwaukee,yes Army,yes Harvard,yes South Dakota St.,yes South Florida,yes Texas Tech,yes Eastern Kentucky,yes Abilene Christian,yes Diana Shnaider,yes Aryna Sabalenka,yes Dayana Yastremska0¢20%-$924.30
yes Dylan Dietrich,yes Gustavo Heide,yes Oleksii Krutykh,yes Bernardo Munk Mesa,yes Jose Pereira,yes Filip Pieczonka,yes Los Angeles D,yes GB Packers wins by over 2.5 points,yes BAL Ravens wins by over 6.5 points,yes Cincinnati,yes Jameis Winston: 200+,yes Jalen Hurts: 175+,yes IND Colts wins by over 6.5 points,no Atlanta wins by over 6.5 points0¢20%-$931.03
yes Pedro Boscardin Dias,yes Stefan Kozlov,yes Tristan Schoolkate,yes Over 22.5 games,yes Denis Shapovalov,yes Stefanos Tsitsipas,no Atlanta wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Pittsburgh,yes Las Vegas,yes Ekaterina Alexandrova,yes Anastasia Potapova0¢20%-$941.14
yes Mattia Bellucci,yes Alex de Minaur,yes Karen Khachanov,yes Baylor wins by over 7.5 points,yes Jameis Winston: 200+,yes Jordan Love: 200+,yes Marcus Mariota: 200+,yes Trevor Lawrence: 250+,yes Jalen Hurts: 175+,yes BAL Ravens wins by over 6.5 points,yes Diana Shnaider,yes Daria Snigur0¢20%-$475.64
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 20Oct 17
Profit by month
Apr 2026-$1.8K
May 2026-$2.0K
Jun 2026-$74.97
Jul 2026-$2.7K
Aug 2026-$664.02
Sep 2026+$61.8K
Oct 2026-$50.1K
Kalshi leaderboards
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