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Stats as of
topMarket
topmarket
+$1.1K
- Tracked Trades
- 836
- First Seen
- Jul 28, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 1, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 6% won · 331 settled · +$1.4K
topMarket is a Kalshi trader with 836 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 103 wins and 554 losses on settled markets, $1.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026TOOZNWBSLJLV6IA3-D7AKZG4ZC on Nov 1.
- Win rate
- 16%
- Return on settled
- +21%
- Money traded
- $28.5K
- Typical trade
- $4.74
- Avg entry
- 2¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,663
Profit over time
+$1.7K-$1.6K
Jul 28Nov 1
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4537%4%-2 pts
20 to 40¢14128%31%+3 pts
40 to 60¢9748%38%-11 pts
60 to 80¢5970%63%-8 pts
Over 80¢8692%100%+8 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $220910%-$129.28
$2 to $520915%+$957.32
$5 to $1620922%+$1.7K
$16 to $5.0K20917%-$1.4K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays3866%+$1.4K
Tennis14318%-$180.10
Bitcoin22829%-$174.73
NBA4320%+$28.22
Soccer20%-$18.78
MMA1622%-$62.53
Side taken
Yes 71%29% No
If you had copied topMarket
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$43,030.36
Profit
on $45,200.00 staked
64-388
Record
14% win rate
+95%
Return
2 still open
+$43.0K-$15.1K
Aug 3Oct 26
-$15.6K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
2.8×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.11×
Profit factor
$81.8K won vs $38.8K lost
-0.8 pts
Edge vs implied
14% won at 15¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 37
- Deepest drawdown
- 303 trades
By category
sports360 settled+123%
crypto92 settled-15%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
2 open positions worth $0.88
The markets topMarket is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026TOOZNWBSLJLV6IA3-D7AKZG4ZC
Nov 1
yes Atlanta,yes Cleveland,yes Houston,yes Philadelphia,yes Memphis,yes Jacobe Smith,yes Piera Rodriguez,yes Joe Kropschot,yes Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani,yes Lucia Szabova
Nov 1
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026UWW76AIJYR3HKZDS-34RMKG423
Nov 1
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.7Kyes Toronto,yes Houston,yes Indiana,yes Los Angeles C,yes Jalen Johnson: 10+,yes Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 10+,yes Desmond Bane: 10+,yes Franz Wagner: 15+,yes Paolo Banchero: 15+,yes Julius Randle: 10+,yes Michael Porter Jr.: 15+,yes Brandon Miller: 15+,yes Naz Reid: 10+,yes Kawhi Leonard: 15+,yes RJ Barrett: 10+,yes Scottie Barnes: 10+,yes Cooper Flagg: 15+,yes Amen Thompson: 10+,yes Kevin Durant: 15+,yes Austin Reaves: 15+,yes Pascal Siakam: 15+,yes Trey Murphy III: 10+,yes Tyler Herro: 15+,yes Anthony Davis: 15+,yes Trae Young: 10+,yes Bam Adebayo: 10+,yes Anthony Edwards: 20+,yes LaMelo Ball: 10+,yes Dillon Brooks: 10+,yes Jalen Green: 10+,yes Damian Lillard: 10+,yes Ja Morant: 10+,yes Rui Hachimura: 10+,yes Jaren Jackson Jr.: 10+,yes Franz Wagner: 2+,yes Paolo Banchero: 4+,yes RJ Barrett: 2+,yes Cooper Flagg: 4+,yes Kevin Durant: 2+,yes Pascal Siakam: 4+,yes Kyle Kuzma: 2+,yes Tyler Herro: 2+,yes Anthony Davis: 6+,yes Bam Adebayo: 4+,yes Giannis Antetokounmpo: 6+,yes Anthony Edwards: 2+,yes Ja Morant: 2+$4.88 on Yes at 0¢, Oct 21
- 2+$1.2Kyes Boston,yes Portland,yes San Antonio,yes Julius Randle: 10+,yes Michael Porter Jr.: 15+,yes Jayson Tatum: 20+,yes Paul George: 10+,yes Cade Cunningham: 15+,yes Jalen Brunson: 15+,yes Karl-Anthony Towns: 10+,yes OG Anunoby: 10+,yes Austin Reaves: 20+,yes Luka Dončić: 30+,yes Deni Avdija: 20+,yes Damian Lillard: 20+,yes Ja Morant: 10+,yes Toumani Camara: 10+,yes Domantas Sabonis: 10+,yes Zach LaVine: 15+,yes Dylan Harper: 10+,yes Stephon Castle: 15+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 20+$4.63 on Yes at 0¢, Oct 27
- 3+$228.01yes Jalen Johnson: 10+,yes Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 10+,yes Desmond Bane: 10+,yes Julius Randle: 10+,yes Michael Porter Jr.: 15+,yes Brandon Miller: 15+,yes RJ Barrett: 10+,yes Scottie Barnes: 10+,yes Cooper Flagg: 15+,yes Kyrie Irving: 10+,yes Austin Reaves: 15+,yes Trey Murphy III: 10+,yes Tyler Herro: 15+,yes Bam Adebayo: 10+,yes Jaden McDaniels: 10+,yes LaMelo Ball: 10+,yes Jaren Jackson Jr.: 10+,yes Paolo Banchero: 4+,yes Cooper Flagg: 4+,yes Over 214.5 points$22.55 on Yes at 9¢, Oct 21
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Philadelphia,yes Denver,yes Miami,yes Milwaukee,yes Minnesota,yes Golden State,yes San Antonio,yes Detroit,yes Utah0¢20%-$4.50
yes Atlanta,yes Cleveland,yes Houston,yes Philadelphia,yes Memphis,yes Jacobe Smith,yes Piera Rodriguez,yes Joe Kropschot,yes Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani,yes Lucia Szabova3¢20%-$65.47
BTC price up in next 15 mins?28¢22829%-$174.73
yes Toronto,yes Houston,yes Indiana,yes Los Angeles C,yes Jalen Johnson: 10+,yes Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 10+,yes Desmond Bane: 10+,yes Franz Wagner: 15+,yes Paolo Banchero: 15+,yes Julius Randle: 10+,yes Michael Porter Jr.: 15+,yes Brandon Miller: 15+,yes Naz Reid: 10+,yes Kawhi Leonard: 15+,yes RJ Barrett: 10+,yes Scottie Barnes: 10+,yes Cooper Flagg: 15+,yes Amen Thompson: 10+,yes Kevin Durant: 15+,yes Austin Reaves: 15+,yes Pascal Siakam: 15+,yes Trey Murphy III: 10+,yes Tyler Herro: 15+,yes Anthony Davis: 15+,yes Trae Young: 10+,yes Bam Adebayo: 10+,yes Anthony Edwards: 20+,yes LaMelo Ball: 10+,yes Dillon Brooks: 10+,yes Jalen Green: 10+,yes Damian Lillard: 10+,yes Ja Morant: 10+,yes Rui Hachimura: 10+,yes Jaren Jackson Jr.: 10+,yes Franz Wagner: 2+,yes Paolo Banchero: 4+,yes RJ Barrett: 2+,yes Cooper Flagg: 4+,yes Kevin Durant: 2+,yes Pascal Siakam: 4+,yes Kyle Kuzma: 2+,yes Tyler Herro: 2+,yes Anthony Davis: 6+,yes Bam Adebayo: 4+,yes Giannis Antetokounmpo: 6+,yes Anthony Edwards: 2+,yes Ja Morant: 2+0¢2100%+$1.7K
yes Washington,yes Boston,yes Denver,yes Detroit,yes Houston,yes Miami,yes Toronto,yes Norman Powell: 10+,yes Cooper Flagg: 15+,yes Kyrie Irving: 10+,yes Ausar Thompson: 4+,yes Amen Thompson: 4+3¢20%-$46.73
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 4Nov 1
Profit by month
Jul 2026-$176.80
Aug 2026-$721.35
Sep 2026-$258.38
Oct 2026+$2.3K
Nov 2026-$45.84
Kalshi leaderboards
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