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Stats as of

tough.spoon

+$928.25
Tracked Trades
760
First Seen
Jan 4, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 24, 2026
Best In Parlays
27% won · 165 settled · +$580.13

tough.spoon is a Kalshi trader with 760 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 311 wins and 393 losses on settled markets, $928.25 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Alex Volkanovski wins on Oct 24.

Win rate
44%
Return on settled
+9%
Money traded
$14.7K
Typical trade
$9.49
Avg entry
21¢
Kalshi rank
#3,763

Profit over time

+$928.00-$552.00
Jan 4Oct 24

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1609%8%+0 pts
20 to 40¢20630%32%+2 pts
40 to 60¢24549%54%+5 pts
60 to 80¢13067%81%+15 pts
Over 80¢1986%92%+5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $519026%-$46.91
$5 to $919042%+$100.76
$9 to $1819057%+$520.96
$18 to $3.3K19050%+$353.44

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays16927%+$580.13
MMA23652%+$513.18
NFL10447%-$292.30
College football8858%+$464.19
Soccer5742%-$180.07
Tech and AI4971%+$13.47

Side taken

Yes 94%6% No

If you had copied tough.spoon

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$2,443.84
Profit
on $12,800.00 staked
57-71
Record
45% win rate
+19%
Return
13 still open
Profit over time128 settled trades
+$2.4K-$1.2K
Aug 3Oct 19
-$1.5K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
1.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.34×
Profit factor
$9.5K won vs $7.1K lost
+8.0 pts
Edge vs implied
45% won at 37¢ avg
Longest losing streak
9
Deepest drawdown
81 trades

By category

sports118 settled+17%
crypto6 settled+14%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

13 open positions worth $144.32

The markets tough.spoon is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what tough.spoon is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Alex Volkanovski wins
Oct 24, 3 fills
Yes50¢$326.58+$326.16
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026BOWSD2KRVXATN3QN-5CGN62NGD
Oct 24
Sold Nosold 77¢$3.3KExited
yes Nikita Krylov,yes Dominick Reyes,yes Colby Thicknesse,yes Alexander Volkov,yes Merab Dvalishvili
Oct 23
Yes0¢$6.45-$6.45
See every position across 364 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Carlos Leal Miranda,yes Sergey Spivak,yes Sean Strickland
    $41.31 on Yes at 10¢, Feb 22
    +$367.70
  2. 2
    Alex Volkanovski wins
    $326.58 on Yes at 50¢, Oct 24
    +$326.16
  3. 3
    yes Sean Strickland,yes Joshua van,yes Alexander Volkov
    $14.04 on Yes at 4¢, May 9
    +$305.05
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026BOWSD2KRVXATN3QN-5CGN62NGD1+$0.00
Alex Volkanovski wins50¢3100%+$326.16
Los Angeles R wins19¢50%-$241.39
Will Paddy Pimblett win the Gaethje vs Pimblett professional MMA fight scheduled for Jan 24, 2026?62¢40%-$240.31
Indiana wins by over 3.5 points?56¢8100%+$180.30

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 27Oct 24

Profit by month

Jan 2026-$273.30
Feb 2026+$195.42
Mar 2026+$90.59
Apr 2026-$158.97
May 2026+$671.68
Jun 2026-$93.77
Jul 2026-$247.59
Aug 2026-$109.77
Sep 2026+$66.53
Oct 2026+$787.43

Kalshi leaderboards

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