Stats as of
tough.spray
+$1.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 902
- First Seen
- Dec 17, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 12, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 54% won · 127 settled · +$2.2K
tough.spray is a Kalshi trader with 902 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 416 wins and 183 losses on settled markets, $1.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Los Angeles D wins on Oct 12.
- Win rate
- 69%
- Return on settled
- +1%
- Money traded
- $275.5K
- Typical trade
- $154
- Avg entry
- 62¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,827
Profit over time
+$3.7K-$6.0K
Dec 17Oct 12
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢868%0%-8 pts
20 to 40¢6232%43%+11 pts
40 to 60¢20152%55%+3 pts
60 to 80¢32968%75%+7 pts
Over 80¢22490%91%+1 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1822686%+$232
$18 to $15422662%+$975
$155 to $46622568%+$2.5K
$468 to $2.3K22565%-$2.4K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Baseball43773%-$2.7K
Parlays21454%+$1.9K
Soccer5877%+$364
NBA7364%-$2.1K
Tennis7284%+$1.5K
NFL3375%+$2.0K
Side taken
Yes 71%29% No
If you had copied tough.spray
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$1437
Profit
on $22300 staked
138-85
Record
62% win rate
+6%
Return
30 still open
+$1.5K-$689
Jul 20Oct 12
-$1.3K
Max drawdown
118% below peak
1.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.17×
Profit factor
$9.9K won vs $8.5K lost
+1.5 pts
Edge vs implied
62% won at 60¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 10
- Deepest drawdown
- 38 trades
By category
other136 settled+8%
sports86 settled+3%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
28 open positions worth $5.9K
The markets tough.spray is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Los Angeles D wins
Oct 12
Los Angeles D wins
Oct 12
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026A7CB8665A53-C9515AACA09
Oct 12
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.9Kyes Cleveland,yes Los Angeles D,yes Over 4.5 runs scored$1.1K on Yes at 38¢, Sep 18
- 2+$1.5KKXSB-26-SEA$3.3K on Yes at 68¢, Feb 8
- 3+$1.5KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026CC9B7A65590-41FD1E8FE1C$533 on Yes at 26¢, Oct 10
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Cleveland wins61¢4672%+$1.9K
Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance57¢1050%-$1.0K
Los Angeles D wins74¢1690%+$821
Baltimore wins80¢433%-$1.7K
Over 8.5 runs scored60¢1850%-$1.0K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 15Oct 12
Profit by month
Dec 2025-$1.1K
Jan 2026-$397
Feb 2026-$13
Mar 2026+$721
Apr 2026+$939
May 2026-$1.2K
Jun 2026+$1.9K
Jul 2026-$5.6K
Aug 2026+$1.4K
Sep 2026+$2.3K
Oct 2026+$2.2K
Kalshi leaderboards
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