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Stats as of

toy.bush

+$1.1K
Tracked Trades
126
First Seen
Feb 7, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 18, 2026
Best In NFL
34% won · 29 settled · +$1.3K

toy.bush is a Kalshi trader with 126 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 14 wins and 85 losses on settled markets, $1.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BYU wins on Oct 18.

Win rate
14%
Return on settled
+26%
Money traded
$8.5K
Typical trade
$12
Avg entry
3¢
Kalshi rank
#3,306

Profit over time

+$1.2K-$95
Feb 7Oct 18

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢774%1%-3 pts
20 to 40¢2529%37%+8 pts
40 to 60¢1044%57%+13 pts
60 to 80¢772%100%+28 pts
Over 80¢792%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $5320%-$72
$7 to $12323%-$252
$13 to $473129%+$239
$47 to $1.3K3144%+$1.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
NFL4734%+$1.3K
College football2029%+$608
Parlays460%-$726
Bitcoin130%-$19

Side taken

Yes 75%25% No

If you had copied toy.bush

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$4592
Profit
on $9700 staked
14-83
Record
14% win rate
-47%
Return
5 still open
Profit over time97 settled trades
+$0-$4.6K
Sep 21Oct 12
-$5.3K
Max drawdown
832% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.45×
Profit factor
$3.7K won vs $8.3K lost
+2.0 pts
Edge vs implied
14% won at 12¢ avg
Longest losing streak
22
Deepest drawdown
94 trades

By category

sports84 settled-39%
crypto13 settled-100%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $66

The markets toy.bush is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what toy.bush is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BYU wins
Oct 18
Sold Nosold 80¢$660Exited
BYU wins
Oct 18, 2 fills
Yes63¢$1.0K+$608
Indiana wins
Oct 17
Yes2¢$9-$9
See every position across 68 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Buffalo wins
    $499 on Yes at 36¢, Oct 13
    +$881
  2. 2
    BYU wins
    $979 on Yes at 69¢, Oct 18
    +$440
  3. 3
    Denver wins
    $975 on Yes at 75¢, Oct 16
    +$325
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BYU wins63¢3100%+$608
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026E9580CB4672-EC6CEAEAA6D1+$0
Buffalo wins36¢4100%+$881
Denver wins75¢2100%+$325
Los Angeles R wins33¢70%-$288

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 21Oct 18

Profit by month

Feb 2026-$95
Sep 2026+$103
Oct 2026+$1.1K

Kalshi leaderboards

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