Stats as of
trail.tip
+$1.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,006
- First Seen
- Aug 20, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 5, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 44% won · 93 settled · +$2.5K
trail.tip is a Kalshi trader with 1,006 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 137 wins and 186 losses on settled markets, $1.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20266DE59E47EAE-4BC867A33CD on Oct 5.
- Win rate
- 42%
- Return on settled
- +6%
- Money traded
- $72.0K
- Typical trade
- $29
- Avg entry
- 41¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,173
Profit over time
+$2.3K-$501
Aug 22Oct 5
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢9411%11%+1 pts
20 to 40¢27631%22%-9 pts
40 to 60¢29049%46%-3 pts
60 to 80¢14569%83%+14 pts
Over 80¢20190%41%-49 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1025239%-$32
$10 to $2925243%-$276
$29 to $7125135%-$686
$71 to $1.2K25156%+$2.3K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays62944%+$2.5K
Tennis16451%-$207
MMA13939%-$668
Baseball3344%-$616
NFL1029%+$431
College football120%-$158
Side taken
Yes 64%36% No
If you had copied trail.tip
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$5046
Profit
on $32300 staked
137-186
Record
42% win rate
-16%
Return
300 still open
+$0-$5.4K
Aug 17Oct 5
-$6.0K
Max drawdown
922% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.73×
Profit factor
$13.6K won vs $18.6K lost
-5.8 pts
Edge vs implied
42% won at 48¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 18
- Deepest drawdown
- 297 trades
By category
sports312 settled-14%
crypto8 settled-100%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
270 open positions worth $12.5K
The markets trail.tip is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20266DE59E47EAE-4BC867A33CD
Oct 5
Parlay: Jose Pereira + Pablo Llamas Ruiz + Gonzalo Villanueva
Oct 5
Parlay: Jose Pereira + Nicolas Kicker
Oct 5
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.3Kyes Jose Pereira,yes Moez Echargui,yes Coco Gauff$482 on Yes at 28¢, Oct 5
- 2+$798yes Texas A&M,yes Payton Talbott,yes Esteban Ribovics,yes Marcus McGhee,yes Damian Pinas,yes Natalia Silva$208 on Yes at 21¢, Oct 3
- 3+$773yes Hynek Barton,yes Julian Cash / Lloyd Glasspool,yes Chicago,yes Baltimore$440 on Yes at 36¢, Oct 4
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Atlanta scores more in the 1st inning?87¢240%-$696
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202654F8AB1BF5E-ABB32DAF9C41+$0
Daniil Medvedev wins32¢90%-$311
Parlay: Hynek Barton + Clement Chidekh + Buffalo + Chicago + Baltimore1+$0
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202667A4BC873D1-EFB0E4BE4E553¢1100%+$730
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 8Oct 5
Profit by month
Aug 2026-$119
Sep 2026+$29
Oct 2026+$1.4K
Kalshi leaderboards
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