Stats as of
trait.bond
-$7.0K
- Tracked Trades
- 172
- First Seen
- Feb 9, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 13, 2026
- Best In NFL
- 33% won · 21 settled · +$2.3K
trait.bond is a Kalshi trader with 172 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 39 wins and 72 losses on settled markets, -$7.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: James Cook III: 2+ touchdowns on Oct 13.
- Win rate
- 35%
- Return on settled
- -17%
- Money traded
- $53.2K
- Typical trade
- $159
- Avg entry
- 17¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,734
Profit over time
+$546-$14.8K
Feb 9Oct 13
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢629%8%-1 pts
20 to 40¢5531%8%-23 pts
40 to 60¢4149%65%+16 pts
60 to 80¢870%75%+5 pts
Over 80¢681%100%+19 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $204341%-$209
$20 to $1544335%-$295
$165 to $4694324%-$1.3K
$470 to $2.4K4336%-$5.3K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
NBA2814%-$5.2K
College basketball2347%-$3.8K
NFL2735%+$4.3K
Parlays300%-$328
Baseball1733%-$1.2K
Soccer533%-$1.3K
Side taken
Yes 92%8% No
If you had copied trait.bond
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$260
Profit
on $2000 staked
5-15
Record
25% win rate
-13%
Return
31 still open
+$0-$900
Aug 31Oct 12
-$1.1K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.83×
Profit factor
$1.2K won vs $1.5K lost
-2.9 pts
Edge vs implied
25% won at 28¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 11
- Deepest drawdown
- 11 trades
By category
sports19 settled-8%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
27 open positions worth $6.6K
The markets trait.bond is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
James Cook III: 2+ touchdowns
Oct 13
TreVeyon Henderson: 1+ touchdowns
Oct 11, 3 fills
Hunter Henry: 1+ touchdowns
Oct 11, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.9KGeorge Pickens: 1+ touchdowns$2.4K on Yes at 45¢, Oct 8
- 2+$2.3KJames Cook III: 2+ touchdowns$377 on Yes at 14¢, Oct 13
- 3+$2.1KHunter Henry: 1+ touchdowns$954 on Yes at 31¢, Oct 11
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
George Pickens: 1+ touchdowns42¢250%+$2.2K
Texas Tech at Alabama Winner?52¢450%-$249
Philadelphia vs Boston 2026 1st Round series winner?63¢10%-$2.4K
Will the Detroit win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?8¢60%-$2.3K
St. Francis (PA) at Chicago St. Winner?56¢1171%-$259
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 16Oct 13
Profit by month
Feb 2026-$2.3K
Mar 2026-$2.0K
Apr 2026-$1.8K
May 2026-$2.9K
Jun 2026-$302
Jul 2026-$1.3K
Sep 2026-$2.7K
Oct 2026+$6.1K
Kalshi leaderboards
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