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Stats as of
treeflay
+$1.6K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,021
- First Seen
- Jun 19, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 31, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 32% won · 492 settled · +$1.6K
treeflay is a Kalshi trader with 1,021 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 289 wins and 590 losses on settled markets, $1.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026SMFMKHUGL7IDAVWU-6MDT43O2L on Oct 31.
- Win rate
- 33%
- Return on settled
- +8%
- Money traded
- $23.4K
- Typical trade
- $9.16
- Avg entry
- 37¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,202
Profit over time
+$1.8K-$855.00
Jun 19Oct 31
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢23910%6%-4 pts
20 to 40¢38430%28%-2 pts
40 to 60¢28848%48%+0 pts
60 to 80¢6466%72%+6 pts
Over 80¢4689%80%-9 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $325634%-$69.19
$3 to $925524%-$266.30
$9 to $2125533%-$361.91
$21 to $1.8K25541%+$2.3K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays58832%+$1.6K
Baseball21541%+$707.81
Soccer21026%-$662.83
NBA467%-$37.59
MMA20%-$15.25
Hockey10%-$10.01
Side taken
Yes 84%16% No
If you had copied treeflay
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$5,922.92
Profit
on $42,200.00 staked
134-288
Record
32% win rate
-14%
Return
+$1.0K-$5.9K
Aug 3Oct 26
-$7.6K
Max drawdown
496% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.79×
Profit factor
$22.9K won vs $28.8K lost
-2.5 pts
Edge vs implied
32% won at 34¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 17
- Deepest drawdown
- 179 trades
By category
sports421 settled-14%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026SMFMKHUGL7IDAVWU-6MDT43O2L
Oct 31
yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Bournemouth,no Alaves
Oct 31
yes Bayern Munich,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Bournemouth,yes Tie,yes Barcelona,yes Real Betis,no Milan
Oct 31
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.0KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026SJKP3XMR7Q5BAWTL-5R22UTO2Z$622.93 on Yes at 38¢, Oct 20
- 2+$666.17KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20265SNPDCZPLDO7MXHR-HKBKNEMIR$627.36 on Yes at 48¢, Oct 20
- 3+$444.17KXMLBTEAMTOTAL-26OCT282000MILTB-MIL2$1.8K on Yes at 80¢, Oct 28
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMLBTEAMTOTAL-26OCT282000MILTB-MIL280¢1100%+$444.17
Will Milwaukee score over 1.5 runs?83¢1100%+$321.67
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026SMFMKHUGL7IDAVWU-6MDT43O2L80¢1100%+$297.55
Will both teams score?47¢5351%-$39.02
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20265SNPDCZPLDO7MXHR-HKBKNEMIR48¢1100%+$666.17
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 3Oct 31
Profit by month
Jun 2026+$82.35
Jul 2026+$8.69
Aug 2026+$381.58
Sep 2026-$201.47
Oct 2026+$1.3K
Kalshi leaderboards
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