Stats as of
trend.wish
+$19.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 852
- First Seen
- Feb 7, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 10, 2026
- Followers
- 1
- Best In Baseball
- 75% won · 55 settled · +$9.2K
trend.wish is a Kalshi trader with 852 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 321 wins and 90 losses on settled markets, $19.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Iowa,yes BYU,yes Washington St. on Oct 10.
- Win rate
- 78%
- Return on settled
- +10%
- Money traded
- $288.6K
- Typical trade
- $54
- Avg entry
- 73¢
- Kalshi rank
- #220
Profit over time
+$20.9K-$1.4K
Feb 8Oct 9
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢116%0%-6 pts
20 to 40¢2031%50%+19 pts
40 to 60¢17950%48%-2 pts
60 to 80¢17072%70%-2 pts
Over 80¢47293%90%-3 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1021380%-$47
$10 to $5421379%-$156
$54 to $31621371%-$1.6K
$318 to $6.8K21381%+$21.1K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Baseball30575%+$9.2K
Tennis25090%-$1.7K
Parlays6877%+$8.2K
College basketball9166%+$1.8K
NBA6393%+$7.6K
College football6630%-$5.5K
Side taken
Yes 65%35% No
If you had copied trend.wish
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$1029
Profit
on $26200 staked
216-46
Record
82% win rate
-4%
Return
45 still open
+$0-$1.1K
Jul 27Oct 5
-$2.6K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.78×
Profit factor
$3.6K won vs $4.6K lost
-3.0 pts
Edge vs implied
82% won at 85¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 17
- Deepest drawdown
- 40 trades
By category
other7 settled+47%
sports255 settled-5%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
15 open positions worth $12.2K
The markets trend.wish is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Alabama St. wins
Oct 9
Alabama St. wins
Oct 9, 11 fills
Ben Shelton wins
Oct 9, 35 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$6.0KOver 5.5 runs scored$4.1K on No at 41¢, Oct 4
- 2+$4.6KNew York wins by over 2.5 points?$4.4K on Yes at 49¢, May 25
- 3+$4.0KSan Francisco vs Chicago C Total Runs?$4.4K on No at 52¢, Jun 7
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Matteo Berrettini wins99¢33100%+$126
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points82¢2100%+$2.5K
Arthur Gea wins97¢4100%+$309
Ben Shelton wins96¢35100%+$431
Will Jiangxue HAN win the HAN vs Zelinskaya: W100 Wuning Round of 16 match?93¢31+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 13Oct 10
Profit by month
Feb 2026+$52
Mar 2026+$1.9K
May 2026+$6.2K
Jun 2026+$3.9K
Aug 2026-$3.6K
Sep 2026+$212
Oct 2026+$10.6K
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