Stats as of
tropical.swordtail6833
+$3.6K
- Tracked Trades
- 398
- First Seen
- Jul 9, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 14, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 20% won · 74 settled · +$3.7K
tropical.swordtail6833 is a Kalshi trader with 398 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 97 wins and 211 losses on settled markets, $3.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026C22E21306C1-B54FCA782B8 on Oct 14.
- Win rate
- 31%
- Return on settled
- +40%
- Money traded
- $22.4K
- Typical trade
- $9
- Avg entry
- 6¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,517
Profit over time
+$3.6K-$506
Jul 9Oct 14
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1737%5%-2 pts
20 to 40¢7828%36%+8 pts
40 to 60¢6349%63%+14 pts
60 to 80¢5970%66%-4 pts
Over 80¢2592%100%+8 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $210014%-$39
$2 to $910021%+$987
$9 to $389939%+$821
$39 to $4.6K9953%+$1.9K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays11119%+$3.0K
Soccer28736%+$623
Side taken
Yes 85%15% No
If you had copied tropical.swordtail6833
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$9738
Profit
on $29900 staked
95-204
Record
32% win rate
+33%
Return
32 still open
+$17.0K-$400
Jul 13Oct 12
-$9.0K
Max drawdown
51% below peak
1.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.48×
Profit factor
$30.1K won vs $20.4K lost
+3.1 pts
Edge vs implied
32% won at 29¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 46
- Deepest drawdown
- 250 trades
By category
sports299 settled+33%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
17 open positions worth $878
The markets tropical.swordtail6833 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026C22E21306C1-B54FCA782B8
Oct 14
yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Both Teams To Score
Oct 14
yes Real Madrid,yes Over 0.5 goals scored
Oct 14
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.3Kyes Barcelona,yes Atletico,yes Real Betis,yes Real Madrid,yes Atletico,yes Barcelona,yes Real Betis,yes Elche,yes Barcelona$9 on Yes at 1¢, Sep 13
- 2+$879yes Liverpool,yes Real Betis,yes Real Madrid,yes Over 0.5 goals scored$189 on Yes at 18¢, Oct 14
- 3+$742yes Atletico,yes Barcelona,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored$382 on Yes at 34¢, Oct 13
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026C22E21306C1-B54FCA782B81+$0
yes Argentina wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Spain,yes England13¢20%-$424
yes Tie,yes Tie,yes Tie,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score1¢2+$0
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202658227FB75E9-900392A9FB01+$0
Both Teams To Score57¢3567%+$287
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 17Oct 14
Profit by month
Jul 2026-$458
Sep 2026+$2.1K
Oct 2026+$2.0K
Kalshi leaderboards
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