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Stats as of
true.ballknower
-$1.5K
- Tracked Trades
- 228
- First Seen
- Nov 28, 2025
- Last Trade
- Nov 8, 2026
- Best In Tennis
- 70% won · 10 settled · +$1.1K
true.ballknower is a Kalshi trader with 228 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 63 wins and 120 losses on settled markets, -$1.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026F6K5MGD4T2LWIKRA-RM3JDLDXT on Nov 8.
- Win rate
- 34%
- Return on settled
- -7%
- Money traded
- $28.6K
- Typical trade
- $55.67
- Avg entry
- 21¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,313
Profit over time
+$967.00-$4.1K
Nov 28Nov 8
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢719%7%-2 pts
20 to 40¢6331%37%+7 pts
40 to 60¢5651%50%-1 pts
60 to 80¢2568%55%-13 pts
Over 80¢1396%100%+4 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $245729%+$31.41
$24 to $555730%+$141.74
$56 to $1165729%-$1.4K
$127 to $1.2K5750%-$249.00
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays13628%-$1.5K
Tennis1470%+$1.1K
NBA2657%+$383.17
Basketball4100%+$530.58
Soccer350%-$636.58
Mentions80%-$758.37
Side taken
Yes 89%11% No
If you had copied true.ballknower
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$548.68
Profit
on $7,400.00 staked
29-45
Record
39% win rate
+7%
Return
+$548.68-$1.7K
Aug 10Nov 2
-$1.8K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
0.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.12×
Profit factor
$5.0K won vs $4.5K lost
+6.1 pts
Edge vs implied
39% won at 33¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 8
- Deepest drawdown
- 40 trades
By category
sports72 settled+7%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026F6K5MGD4T2LWIKRA-RM3JDLDXT
Nov 8, 2 fills
Full Game: Over 43.5 points scored
Nov 8, 3 fills
Pascal Siakam: 25+ points
Nov 8, 7 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$975.95Will Laura Pigossi win the Werner vs Pigossi : Qualification Round 1 match?$1.5K on Yes at 61¢, Jan 31
- 2+$944.75KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026F6K5MGD4T2LWIKRA-RM3JDLDXT$529.12 on Yes at 36¢, Nov 8
- 3+$682.65Over 3.5 total sets played in the Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic match$1.2K on Yes at 63¢, Jan 31
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Laura Pigossi win the Werner vs Pigossi : Qualification Round 1 match?61¢3100%+$975.95
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026F6K5MGD4T2LWIKRA-RM3JDLDXT36¢2100%+$944.75
Altiri Chiba at Sendai 89Ers Winner?65¢2100%+$264.45
Charlotte wins by over 6.5 points56¢2100%+$330.05
Over 3.5 total sets played in the Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic match63¢1100%+$682.65
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 11Nov 8
Profit by month
Nov 2025-$123.63
Dec 2025-$241.17
Jan 2026+$1.2K
Feb 2026-$1.8K
Mar 2026-$1.5K
Apr 2026-$325.45
May 2026-$291.57
Jul 2026-$99.13
Aug 2026-$98.02
Sep 2026-$418.89
Oct 2026-$171.20
Nov 2026+$2.3K
Kalshi leaderboards
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