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Stats as of
true.lid
+$1.6K
- Tracked Trades
- 191
- First Seen
- Oct 25, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 20, 2026
- Best In College football
- 34% won · 59 settled · +$2.5K
true.lid is a Kalshi trader with 191 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 42 wins and 130 losses on settled markets, $1.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Washington wins on Oct 20.
- Win rate
- 24%
- Return on settled
- +24%
- Money traded
- $10.1K
- Typical trade
- $15.12
- Avg entry
- 15¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,112
Profit over time
+$3.1K-$753.00
Oct 25Oct 19
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢918%8%+1 pts
20 to 40¢7429%42%+13 pts
40 to 60¢1547%29%-18 pts
60 to 80¢473%100%+27 pts
Over 80¢795%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $54821%+$45.84
$5 to $154817%+$68.25
$15 to $404830%+$252.57
$47 to $1.5K4731%+$1.3K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
NFL8130%-$579.54
College football6334%+$2.5K
Parlays310%-$156.22
Baseball50%-$106.92
College basketball40%-$52.80
Hockey333%+$1.89
Side taken
Yes 91%9% No
If you had copied true.lid
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$364.40
Profit
on $4,000.00 staked
11-29
Record
28% win rate
+9%
Return
+$664.40-$1.0K
Sep 14Oct 19
-$1.0K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
0.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.13×
Profit factor
$3.3K won vs $2.9K lost
+6.6 pts
Edge vs implied
28% won at 21¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 9
- Deepest drawdown
- 13 trades
By category
sports40 settled+9%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Washington wins
Oct 20
Washington wins
Oct 19, 2 fills
yes Stefon Diggs,yes Mike Evans: 1+
Oct 19
Biggest wins
- 1+$891.20Florida wins$236.90 on Yes at 21¢, Oct 17
- 2+$734.40Oregon wins$285.60 on Yes at 28¢, Oct 18
- 3+$643.08San Diego St. wins$237.85 on Yes at 27¢, Oct 18
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Washington wins24¢30%-$379.79
Baltimore wins39¢2100%+$375.01
Los Angeles R wins38¢10%-$479.20
Buffalo wins46¢4100%+$312.66
Dallas wins22¢10%-$379.29
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 23Oct 20
Profit by month
Oct 2025+$10.67
Nov 2025-$218.92
Dec 2025-$215.58
Jan 2026-$77.83
Mar 2026-$74.93
Apr 2026-$22.53
Jul 2026-$0.95
Sep 2026-$67.23
Oct 2026+$2.3K
Kalshi leaderboards
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