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Stats as of

uglyme

+$3.2K
Tracked Trades
815
First Seen
Feb 22, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 1, 2026
Best In Parlays
14% won · 612 settled · +$2.6K

uglyme is a Kalshi trader with 815 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 129 wins and 587 losses on settled markets, $3.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026MY56TGFXCTZ3RPRV-SQXKOTN54 on Nov 1.

Win rate
18%
Return on settled
+6%
Money traded
$83.7K
Typical trade
$47.83
Avg entry
11¢
Kalshi rank
#2,192

Profit over time

+$7.2K-$2.5K
Feb 22Nov 1

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢56710%11%+1 pts
20 to 40¢13527%29%+2 pts
40 to 60¢4948%51%+3 pts
60 to 80¢3669%57%-12 pts
Over 80¢2889%100%+11 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $4720413%-$527.56
$47 to $482047%-$3.0K
$48 to $9420426%+$4.6K
$94 to $1.9K20326%+$2.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays69414%+$2.6K
Soccer9336%+$537.73
Tennis2450%-$82.41
College basketball2100%+$63.40
Hockey1100%+$99.27
Mentions10%-$5.61

Side taken

Yes 88%12% No

If you had copied uglyme

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$1,203.34
Profit
on $38,500.00 staked
71-314
Record
18% win rate
+3%
Return
Profit over time385 settled trades
+$1.2K-$3.6K
Sep 7Oct 26
-$7.1K
Max drawdown
328% below peak
0.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.04×
Profit factor
$32.6K won vs $31.4K lost
+2.5 pts
Edge vs implied
18% won at 16¢ avg
Longest losing streak
39
Deepest drawdown
229 trades

By category

sports383 settled+4%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026MY56TGFXCTZ3RPRV-SQXKOTN54
Nov 1
Sold Nosold 83¢$1.5KExited
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026WDAVL624WOMRV4GY-HJ3QDZXX4
Nov 1
Yes38¢$632.51-$632.51
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026K463K6UPBZKFUHJL-V43ZDKNHQ
Nov 1
Sold Nosold 52¢$745.56Exited
See every position across 708 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Over 4.5 goals scored,yes Over 4.5 goals scored,yes Over 4.5 goals scored,yes Over 5.5 goals scored,yes Over 5.5 goals scored,yes Over 4.5 goals scored,yes Over 6.5 goals scored,yes Over 5.5 goals scored
    $47.72 on Yes at 3¢, Oct 29
    +$1.4K
  2. 2
    yes Arsenal,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 1H goals scored,yes Real Madrid wins by more than 2.5 goals,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored
    $106.17 on Yes at 8¢, Sep 12
    +$1.2K
  3. 3
    yes Over 5.5 runs scored,yes Over 8.5 runs scored,yes Over 6.5 runs scored,yes Over 8.5 runs scored,yes Over 4.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 6.5 runs scored,yes Over 4.5 runs scored
    $94.68 on Yes at 8¢, Sep 12
    +$1.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026KSAEZJTG6HOZSA6M-UGVYCOMLA1+$0.00
yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Over 5.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored3¢20%-$46.67
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026MY56TGFXCTZ3RPRV-SQXKOTN541+$0.00
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202634VFB27NNUHUQ77E-7QDHAIU4S1+$0.00
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026GPTK7ZNEF2DQD4MK-JTQ4A7FFI1+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 4Nov 1

Profit by month

Feb 2026-$1.0K
Mar 2026-$559.50
Jun 2026+$3.4K
Jul 2026+$1.1K
Aug 2026-$569.64
Sep 2026-$781.70
Oct 2026+$3.4K
Nov 2026-$1.7K

Kalshi leaderboards

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