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Stats as of
unexpected.raven1612
-$519.89
- Tracked Trades
- 367
- First Seen
- Jun 14, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 7, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 14% won · 170 settled · +$1.5K
unexpected.raven1612 is a Kalshi trader with 367 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 49 wins and 200 losses on settled markets, -$519.89 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026ZAZFTPQZWSV6IJJG-UXLGO7HGL on Nov 7.
- Win rate
- 20%
- Return on settled
- -3%
- Money traded
- $35.8K
- Typical trade
- $28.19
- Avg entry
- 10¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,122
Profit over time
+$569.00-$2.2K
Jun 14Nov 7
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2305%3%-2 pts
20 to 40¢5929%34%+5 pts
40 to 60¢2649%62%+12 pts
60 to 80¢1268%50%-18 pts
Over 80¢4097%100%+3 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $9922%-$313.30
$9 to $28927%-$698.06
$29 to $959217%-$2.3K
$95 to $1.9K9152%+$2.8K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays25314%+$1.5K
Soccer10935%-$1.9K
Golf40%-$61.75
US elections10%-$65.54
Side taken
Yes 99%1% No
If you had copied unexpected.raven1612
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$8,216.79
Profit
on $17,200.00 staked
23-149
Record
13% win rate
-48%
Return
+$0.00-$8.2K
Sep 7Nov 2
-$8.9K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.45×
Profit factor
$6.7K won vs $14.9K lost
+0.7 pts
Edge vs implied
13% won at 13¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 33
- Deepest drawdown
- 153 trades
By category
sports171 settled-47%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Dortmund,yes Bayern Munich,yes Leipzig,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Real Madrid,yes PSG,yes Roma
Nov 7, 2 fills
yes Nashville,yes Vancouver,yes Orlando,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored
Nov 7
yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Arsenal,yes Manchester City,yes Real Madrid,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes PSG,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Roma
Nov 7, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.7Kyes Dortmund,yes Bayern Munich,yes Leipzig,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Real Madrid,yes PSG,yes Roma$426.02 on Yes at 20¢, Nov 7
- 2+$819.88yes Birmingham,yes Sheffield United,yes Stoke,yes Portsmouth,yes Tie,yes West Ham,yes Wrexham$285.08 on Yes at 26¢, Oct 17
- 3+$811.81Lautaro Martinez: 1+ goals$256.36 on Yes at 24¢, Jul 12
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026ZAZFTPQZWSV6IJJG-UXLGO7HGL1+$0.00
Mexico vs England: To Advance55¢450%-$213.35
yes Birmingham,yes Sheffield United,yes Stoke,yes Portsmouth,yes Tie,yes West Ham,yes Wrexham26¢2100%+$819.88
yes Hamburg,yes Mainz,yes Elversberg,yes Tie,yes Tie51¢3100%+$427.49
Portugal vs Croatia: To Advance61¢4100%+$440.91
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 10Nov 7
Profit by month
Jun 2026-$938.21
Jul 2026-$850.41
Sep 2026-$364.86
Oct 2026+$540.23
Nov 2026+$1.1K
Kalshi leaderboards
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