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Stats as of
unwilling.bull5869
+$3.0K
- Tracked Trades
- 395
- First Seen
- Feb 6, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 31, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 19% won · 236 settled · +$3.8K
unwilling.bull5869 is a Kalshi trader with 395 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 56 wins and 218 losses on settled markets, $3.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026PX5Y7EOF4GCAVV56-ZF5ZFKB3M on Oct 31.
- Win rate
- 20%
- Return on settled
- +19%
- Money traded
- $70.4K
- Typical trade
- $53.24
- Avg entry
- 12¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,221
Profit over time
+$4.4K-$2.4K
Feb 6Oct 31
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1369%16%+7 pts
20 to 40¢10628%21%-7 pts
40 to 60¢4647%28%-19 pts
60 to 80¢2772%50%-22 pts
Over 80¢8092%50%-42 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $249914%-$629.57
$24 to $539921%+$386.89
$54 to $1569924%+$2.4K
$156 to $2.8K9838%+$904.72
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays34019%+$3.8K
Tennis2541%-$35.71
NFL917%-$489.23
Soccer80%-$247.18
NBA20%-$95.33
MMA1100%+$158.75
Side taken
Yes 69%31% No
If you had copied unwilling.bull5869
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$663.58
Profit
on $22,000.00 staked
49-171
Record
22% win rate
+3%
Return
+$1.2K-$4.4K
Sep 21Oct 26
-$4.6K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.04×
Profit factor
$17.8K won vs $17.1K lost
-1.3 pts
Edge vs implied
22% won at 24¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 14
- Deepest drawdown
- 133 trades
By category
sports220 settled+3%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026PX5Y7EOF4GCAVV56-ZF5ZFKB3M
Oct 31
yes Baylor,yes Dartmouth,yes Charlotte,yes New Jersey,yes Seattle,yes Florida
Oct 31
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026257XJR2PN6VY45YG-XR2OFQCFV
Oct 31
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.4Kyes Philadelphia,yes Indiana,yes LSU,yes Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev,yes Alex Volkanovski,yes Alexander Volkov,yes Petr Yan$93.70 on Yes at 6¢, Oct 24
- 2+$1.0Kyes Milwaukee,yes Cleveland,yes Philadelphia,yes Arizona,yes Boise St.,yes Alex Volkanovski$141.29 on Yes at 12¢, Oct 24
- 3+$1.0Kyes Liverpool,yes Manchester City,yes PSG$298.36 on Yes at 23¢, Oct 20
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Milwaukee,yes Houston,yes Washington,yes Minnesota,yes Kansas City,yes San Francisco,yes Jahmyr Gibbs: 1+,yes Kenneth Walker III: 1+,yes Christian McCaffrey: 1+2¢20%-$55.36
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026PX5Y7EOF4GCAVV56-ZF5ZFKB3M1+$0.00
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20263WARU6FO7NFYZ566-C4KSGGDKV1+$0.00
yes Indiana,yes Los Angeles L,yes Minnesota,yes Portland22¢20%-$279.73
yes Los Angeles R,yes Cleveland,yes Buffalo,yes Carolina,yes Green Bay,yes Kansas City,yes New England,yes Tampa Bay,yes Indianapolis3¢20%-$46.73
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 3Oct 31
Profit by month
Feb 2026-$126.70
Mar 2026-$0.34
Apr 2026-$46.85
May 2026-$259.11
Sep 2026-$95.11
Oct 2026+$3.5K
Kalshi leaderboards
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