Stats as of
vane18
-$331
- Tracked Trades
- 987
- First Seen
- Jun 21, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 17, 2026
- Best In Baseball
- 25% won · 234 settled · +$443
vane18 is a Kalshi trader with 987 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 108 wins and 660 losses on settled markets, -$331 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Thanapet Chanta wins on Oct 17.
- Win rate
- 14%
- Return on settled
- -6%
- Money traded
- $15.1K
- Typical trade
- $6
- Avg entry
- 9¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,862
Profit over time
+$108-$1.0K
Jun 21Oct 17
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢5859%8%-2 pts
20 to 40¢18828%27%-1 pts
40 to 60¢5649%66%+17 pts
60 to 80¢5771%0%-71 pts
Over 80¢10192%50%-42 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $22479%-$98
$2 to $624718%+$100
$6 to $1324713%-$75
$13 to $35624620%-$257
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Tennis4807%-$783
Baseball30925%+$443
Parlays529%+$155
Soccer5717%-$65
Esports4719%-$36
WNBA2435%+$65
Side taken
Yes 78%22% No
If you had copied vane18
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$3351
Profit
on $45200 staked
66-386
Record
15% win rate
+7%
Return
+$10.5K+$0
Jul 20Oct 12
-$9.3K
Max drawdown
75% below peak
0.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.09×
Profit factor
$42.0K won vs $38.6K lost
+2.3 pts
Edge vs implied
15% won at 12¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 41
- Deepest drawdown
- 308 trades
By category
sports452 settled+7%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Thanapet Chanta wins
Oct 17, 2 fills
Evelyn Ortiz wins
Oct 17
yes Freddie Freeman: 1+,yes Mookie Betts: 2+,yes Tommy Edman: 1+,yes Over 6.5 runs scored
Oct 15
Biggest wins
- 1+$330yes Atlanta,yes Washington,yes Pittsburgh,yes Boston,yes New York M$9 on Yes at 3¢, Jul 26
- 2+$304Arizona vs St. Louis Total Runs?$143 on Yes at 32¢, Jul 23
- 3+$189Houston vs Los Angeles A Winner?$30 on Yes at 14¢, Jul 28
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Arizona vs St. Louis Total Runs?32¢8100%+$406
yes Milwaukee,yes Los Angeles C3¢20%-$9
New York M vs Atlanta Winner?21¢1450%+$156
Los Angeles D vs A's Total Runs?59¢1422%-$81
yes Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+,yes Pete Crow-Armstrong: 1+3¢20%-$9
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 20Oct 17
Profit by month
Jun 2026-$210
Jul 2026-$22
Aug 2026+$109
Sep 2026+$13
Oct 2026-$221
Kalshi leaderboards
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