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Stats as of

variable.bull8484

+$8.9K
Tracked Trades
485
First Seen
Feb 26, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In NFL
57% won · 114 settled · +$13.8K

variable.bull8484 is a Kalshi trader with 485 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 198 wins and 235 losses on settled markets, $8.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXNFLSPREAD-26NOV05JACBAL-JAC10 on Nov 3.

Win rate
46%
Return on settled
+4%
Money traded
$279.6K
Typical trade
$290.44
Avg entry
38¢
Kalshi rank
#841

Profit over time

+$9.6K-$9.8K
Feb 26Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢588%16%+8 pts
20 to 40¢11032%30%-1 pts
40 to 60¢29050%55%+5 pts
60 to 80¢1467%80%+13 pts
Over 80¢1390%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$3 to $19112236%+$2.6K
$191 to $29012142%-$1.4K
$291 to $90112152%+$3.4K
$946 to $4.3K12152%+$4.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Baseball17741%-$1.2K
NFL12757%+$13.8K
Parlays4914%-$8.4K
NBA5161%+$2.3K
College football3457%+$3.3K
College basketball740%-$576.47

Side taken

Yes 75%25% No

If you had copied variable.bull8484

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$3,338.82
Profit
on $26,400.00 staked
133-131
Record
50% win rate
+13%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time264 settled trades
+$3.3K-$74.24
Aug 3Nov 2
-$1.6K
Max drawdown
46% below peak
2.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.25×
Profit factor
$16.4K won vs $13.1K lost
+7.7 pts
Edge vs implied
50% won at 43¢ avg
Longest losing streak
8
Deepest drawdown
90 trades

By category

sports262 settled+13%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $1.9K

The markets variable.bull8484 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what variable.bull8484 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Full Game: over 52.5 points scored?
Nov 3, 2 fills
No49¢$482.76+$502.46
Chicago wins by over 6.5 points?
Nov 3, 4 fills
Yes54¢$969.03+$814.25
Full Game: Over 243.5 points scored
Nov 3
Yes52¢$967.49+$893.07
See every position across 432 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Atlanta wins
    $2.9K on Yes at 48¢, Oct 5
    +$3.1K
  2. 2
    yes Spain,yes Cincinnati,yes Seattle
    $758.53 on Yes at 22¢, Jul 19
    +$2.6K
  3. 3
    Baltimore vs Houston Winner?
    $2.4K on Yes at 50¢, Jul 18
    +$2.4K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Los Angeles R wins43¢50%-$3.9K
Los Angeles D vs New York Y Winner?55¢450%-$353.85
Atlanta wins49¢467%+$2.1K
ATL Falcons wins by over 3.5 points?48¢30%-$2.2K
yes Los Angeles D,yes Detroit46¢20%-$1.9K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Feb 2026-$1.9K
Mar 2026-$2.7K
Apr 2026+$878.53
May 2026-$1.7K
Jun 2026-$1.8K
Jul 2026-$2.1K
Aug 2026+$2.85
Sep 2026+$2.3K
Oct 2026+$15.9K
Nov 2026-$83.04

Kalshi leaderboards

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