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Stats as of
wildflower.
+$1.5K
- Tracked Trades
- 550
- First Seen
- Feb 3, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 31, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 50% won · 114 settled · +$1.5K
wildflower. is a Kalshi trader with 550 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 99 wins and 79 losses on settled markets, $1.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 31.
- Win rate
- 56%
- Return on settled
- +9%
- Money traded
- $34.3K
- Typical trade
- $16.29
- Avg entry
- 47¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,956
Profit over time
+$1.9K-$1.2K
Feb 3Oct 31
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢8412%7%-4 pts
20 to 40¢8329%19%-10 pts
40 to 60¢14850%41%-9 pts
60 to 80¢15668%90%+22 pts
Over 80¢7988%91%+3 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $413842%-$25.63
$4 to $1613852%-$44.06
$17 to $6713754%-$143.78
$68 to $1.8K13766%+$1.7K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin26953%+$1.1K
Entertainment9656%-$151.49
Mentions9145%-$311.83
Stocks and indices17100%+$490.42
Motorsport3575%+$407.72
Soccer3364%-$67.66
Side taken
Yes 38%62% No
If you had copied wildflower.
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$219.40
Profit
on $4,500.00 staked
21-24
Record
47% win rate
-5%
Return
+$0.00-$565.62
Sep 14Oct 26
-$927.52
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.91×
Profit factor
$2.2K won vs $2.4K lost
-0.4 pts
Edge vs implied
47% won at 47¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 3
- Deepest drawdown
- 20 trades
By category
sports10 settled+14%
crypto32 settled-12%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 31, 7 fills
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 31, 12 fills
Bitcoin price on Oct 30, 2026?
Oct 30, 6 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$882.32BTC price up in next 15 mins?$847.72 on No at 49¢, Oct 31
- 2+$495.86Andrea Kimi Antonelli is awarded Pole Position$94.45 on Yes at 16¢, Oct 24
- 3+$439.73BTC price up in next 15 mins?$978.76 on No at 69¢, Oct 29
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?45¢19249%+$620.12
Bitcoin price on Oct 30, 2026?71¢1167%+$82.87
Bitcoin price on Oct 20, 2026?46¢833%+$292.78
Bitcoin price on Mar 1, 2026?62¢1360%+$126.60
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union?44¢2380%-$12.74
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 3Oct 31
Profit by month
Feb 2026-$493.36
Mar 2026-$96.75
Apr 2026-$14.00
Sep 2026-$1.78
Oct 2026+$2.1K
Kalshi leaderboards
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