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Stats as of
willowy.lovebird3203
+$4.6K
- Tracked Trades
- 539
- First Seen
- Sep 10, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 4, 2026
- Best In Baseball
- 50% won · 14 settled · +$1.4K
willowy.lovebird3203 is a Kalshi trader with 539 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 182 wins and 129 losses on settled markets, $4.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Nov 4.
- Win rate
- 59%
- Return on settled
- +12%
- Money traded
- $75.7K
- Typical trade
- $97.01
- Avg entry
- 47¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,496
Profit over time
+$7.4K-$210.00
Sep 10Nov 4
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢477%8%+1 pts
20 to 40¢4331%29%-1 pts
40 to 60¢19251%60%+8 pts
60 to 80¢12868%65%-4 pts
Over 80¢12993%85%-8 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $4913549%-$6.41
$50 to $9713561%+$797.72
$97 to $16413564%+$493.71
$165 to $1.5K13460%+$3.3K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin45160%+$1.3K
Baseball2450%+$1.4K
Parlays1220%+$714.51
College football780%+$1.1K
NFL1275%-$12.73
Soccer1520%-$289.15
Side taken
Yes 54%46% No
If you had copied willowy.lovebird3203
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$1,701.51
Profit
on $27,000.00 staked
154-116
Record
57% win rate
+6%
Return
+$2.2K+$0.00
Sep 7Nov 2
-$1.4K
Max drawdown
57% below peak
1.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.15×
Profit factor
$13.3K won vs $11.6K lost
+2.8 pts
Edge vs implied
57% won at 54¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 6
- Deepest drawdown
- 51 trades
By category
sports46 settled+27%
crypto221 settled+2%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 4, 3 fills
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 4, 4 fills
NEAR price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 3, 23 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.1Kyes Bayern Munich,yes Barcelona,yes PSG,yes Real Madrid,yes Manchester City$230.42 on Yes at 10¢, Nov 3
- 2+$954.95KXMLBSPREAD-26OCT192008CLETB-TB2$636.63 on Yes at 40¢, Oct 19
- 3+$722.80Georgia wins$615.72 on Yes at 46¢, Oct 10
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?55¢44260%+$1.3K
KXMLBSPREAD-26OCT192008CLETB-TB240¢2100%+$954.95
Georgia wins47¢467%+$607.78
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026BLFP2BHM3FUHKAYY-UHOX5I4VD19¢10%-$1.5K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20265H7BX6S3YJ2AMDNP-MJZWJWKHY1+$0.00
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 7Nov 4
Profit by month
Sep 2026+$2.2K
Oct 2026+$1.6K
Nov 2026+$782.31
Kalshi leaderboards
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