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Stats as of

Kalshi

willypa

-$1.1K
Tracked Trades
868
First Seen
Mar 3, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 2, 2026
Best In NBA
42% won · 66 settled · +$124.21

willypa is a Kalshi trader with 868 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 158 wins and 340 losses on settled markets, -$1.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Sam Darnold: 1+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 70+,yes D'Andre Swift: 1+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 1+ on Nov 2.

Win rate
32%
Return on settled
-11%
Money traded
$21.0K
Typical trade
$9.56
Avg entry
15¢
Kalshi rank
#6,321

Profit over time

+$267.00-$1.3K
Mar 3Nov 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3728%6%-2 pts
20 to 40¢24130%39%+9 pts
40 to 60¢12648%46%-2 pts
60 to 80¢6567%69%+2 pts
Over 80¢6491%40%-51 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $421719%+$10.67
$5 to $1021730%+$266.10
$10 to $2421732%-$308.10
$24 to $94721745%-$1.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays42825%+$30.71
Soccer24134%-$1.1K
NBA8742%+$124.21
Mentions4330%+$63.08
NFL914%-$116.59
Baseball1745%-$17.33

Side taken

Yes 82%18% No

If you had copied willypa

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$2,526.57
Profit
on $10,600.00 staked
40-66
Record
38% win rate
+24%
Return
93 still open
Profit over time106 settled trades
+$2.5K-$376.96
Aug 3Nov 2
-$1.7K
Max drawdown
210% below peak
1.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.38×
Profit factor
$9.1K won vs $6.6K lost
+5.9 pts
Edge vs implied
38% won at 32¢ avg
Longest losing streak
8
Deepest drawdown
32 trades

By category

sports106 settled+24%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

96 open positions worth $1.5K

The markets willypa is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what willypa is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Sam Darnold: 1+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 70+,yes D'Andre Swift: 1+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 1+
Nov 2
Yes11¢$12.24+$95.13
yes Both Teams To Score,yes Newcastle
Nov 2
Yes24¢$14.24-$14.24
yes Washington,yes Jayden Daniels: 150+,yes Saquon Barkley: 40+,yes Stefon Diggs: 1+
Nov 2
Yes5¢$9.36-$9.36
See every position across 505 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Barcelona wins by over 2.5 goals?
    $106.36 on Yes at 29¢, Mar 3
    +$254.64
  2. 2
    yes Morocco,yes Brazil,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored
    $122.48 on Yes at 36¢, Jun 24
    +$219.24
  3. 3
    England vs Argentina: To Advance
    $149.92 on Yes at 46¢, Jul 15
    +$173.78
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Charlotte,yes New England,yes Nashville,yes New York City,yes Saint Louis,yes Toronto1¢3+$0.00
yes Dak Prescott: 200+,yes Jordan Love: 175+,yes George Pickens: 4+,yes KaVontae Turpin: 1+,yes Christian Watson: 3+,yes Matthew Golden: 3+,yes George Pickens: 40+,yes Javonte Williams: 40+,yes MarShawn Lloyd: 20+2¢3+$0.00
New York G wins23¢40%-$107.44
yes Chelsea,yes Arsenal,yes West Ham,yes Manchester City,yes Manchester United2¢20%-$9.34
Memphis at Minnesota Winner?25¢40%-$97.86

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 5Nov 2

Profit by month

Mar 2026+$14.71
Apr 2026-$12.02
May 2026-$297.44
Jun 2026+$91.33
Jul 2026-$795.09
Aug 2026+$25.23
Sep 2026-$295.62
Oct 2026+$166.55
Nov 2026+$10.51

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