rivomarkets
Kalshi

wrong.redpanda3470

+$14.6K
Tracked Trades
1,230
First Seen
Jun 13, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026
Followers
186

wrong.redpanda3470 is a Kalshi trader with 1,230 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 122 wins and 862 losses on settled markets, $14.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Sep 20.

Win rate
12%
Return on settled
+23%
Money traded
$537.7K
Typical trade
$22
Copy score
10/100
Kalshi rank
#499

Profit over time

+$16.7K-$7.2K
Jun 13Sep 13

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢9633%2%+0 pts
20 to 40¢4227%31%+3 pts
40 to 60¢5753%57%+4 pts
60 to 80¢5267%73%+7 pts
Over 80¢11694%100%+6 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $530814%-$862
$5 to $2230812%+$125
$22 to $9230710%-$543
$93 to $22K30714%+$15.8K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports20%-$558

Side taken

Yes 89%11% No

If you had copied wrong.redpanda3470

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$28395
Profit
on $89600 staked
112-784
Record
13% win rate
-32%
Return
140 still open
Profit over time896 settled trades
+$0-$52.0K
Jun 22Sep 7
-$52.6K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.64×
Profit factor
$50.0K won vs $78.4K lost
+0.4 pts
Edge vs implied
13% won at 12¢ avg
Longest losing streak
140
Deepest drawdown
857 trades

By category

other895 settled-32%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

139 open positions worth $17.8K

The markets wrong.redpanda3470 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what wrong.redpanda3470 is holding

Recent positions

yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 20, avg 93¢
SELLNO$796Open
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 15, avg 93¢
SELLNO$1.1KOpen
yes Boston,yes San Diego,yes Los Angeles D,yes Toronto,yes New York Y,yes St. Louis,yes San Diego,yes Dallas,yes Kansas City
Sep 13, avg 2¢
BUYYES$47-$47
See every position across 1,040 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Cleveland,yes Houston,yes Minnesota,yes New York M,yes Los Angeles A,yes New York Y,yes Tampa Bay,yes Arizona,yes Milwaukee,yes Pittsburgh,yes Toronto,yes San Diego,yes Los Angeles D
    $256 on Yes, Sep 9
    +$17.8K
  2. 2
    yes Baltimore,yes Miami,yes Philadelphia,yes Cleveland,yes Seattle,yes Boston,yes Milwaukee
    $469 on Yes, Aug 15
    +$6.7K
  3. 3
    yes Cleveland,yes Houston,yes Minnesota,yes New York M,yes Los Angeles A,yes New York Y,yes Tampa Bay,yes Arizona,yes Milwaukee,yes Pittsburgh,yes Texas,yes Toronto,yes San Diego,yes Los Angeles D
    $93 on Yes, Sep 9
    +$6.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points4+$0
yes Cleveland,yes Chicago C,yes Minnesota,yes Seattle,yes Pittsburgh,yes San Francisco,yes Tampa Bay,yes Washington,yes New York Y,yes Milwaukee,yes Minnesota20%-$887
yes Detroit,yes San Diego,yes Minnesota,yes Chicago C,yes New York Y,yes Tampa Bay,yes Kansas City,yes Los Angeles D20%-$316
yes Milwaukee,yes Atlanta,yes Pittsburgh,yes New York M,yes St. Louis,yes New York Y,yes Seattle,yes Los Angeles D2+$0
yes Miami,yes Washington,yes New York Y,yes Toronto,yes Milwaukee,yes Atlanta,yes Minnesota2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Jun 2026+$685
Jul 2026-$2.3K
Aug 2026-$3.6K
Sep 2026+$19.8K

Similar Kalshi traders

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Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.

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