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Stats as of
wrong.redpanda3470
+$8.2K
- Tracked Trades
- 2,430
- First Seen
- Jun 13, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 2, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 5% won · 1,940 settled · +$8.0K
wrong.redpanda3470 is a Kalshi trader with 2,430 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 150 wins and 1,893 losses on settled markets, $8.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026SJSNZHYZQ3PL26NE-73ZKDYHRB on Nov 2.
- Win rate
- 7%
- Return on settled
- +5%
- Money traded
- $262.8K
- Typical trade
- $23.34
- Avg entry
- 2¢
- Kalshi rank
- #985
Profit over time
+$34.2K-$6.4K
Jun 13Nov 1
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢21073%3%+0 pts
20 to 40¢14229%23%-5 pts
40 to 60¢10349%51%+1 pts
60 to 80¢4867%68%+1 pts
Over 80¢3090%100%+10 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $96083%-$2.4K
$9 to $236084%-$2.5K
$23 to $936079%-$8.5K
$93 to $3.3K60715%+$21.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays22945%+$8.0K
Bitcoin7254%+$170.31
Soccer725%-$63.44
Solana2245%-$88.20
Ethereum1367%-$3.34
Tennis633%+$68.19
Side taken
Yes 98%2% No
If you had copied wrong.redpanda3470
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$45,295.95
Profit
on $143,400.00 staked
83-1351
Record
6% win rate
-32%
Return
+$11.8K-$47.4K
Aug 10Nov 9
-$73.8K
Max drawdown
405% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.66×
Profit factor
$89.8K won vs $135.1K lost
-0.3 pts
Edge vs implied
6% won at 6¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 168
- Deepest drawdown
- 1124 trades
By category
other669 settled+3%
sports765 settled-62%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026SJSNZHYZQ3PL26NE-73ZKDYHRB
Nov 2
yes Indiana,yes Boston,yes Golden State,yes Los Angeles L,yes Dallas,yes Kansas City,yes Los Angeles R,yes New England,yes Washington,yes Cincinnati
Nov 1
yes Indiana,yes Boston,yes Golden State,yes Los Angeles L,yes Dallas,yes Kansas City,yes Los Angeles R,yes New England,yes Washington,yes Tennessee,yes Edmonton,yes Minnesota,yes Ottawa,yes Utah
Nov 1
Biggest wins
- 1+$17.8Kyes Cleveland,yes Houston,yes Minnesota,yes New York M,yes Los Angeles A,yes New York Y,yes Tampa Bay,yes Arizona,yes Milwaukee,yes Pittsburgh,yes Toronto,yes San Diego,yes Los Angeles D$255.80 on Yes at 1¢, Sep 9
- 2+$9.5Kyes Baltimore,yes Washington,yes Minnesota,yes Baltimore,yes Milwaukee,yes St. Louis,yes New York Y,yes Atlanta$233.46 on Yes at 2¢, Sep 23
- 3+$9.0KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202680357750616-F28F231F66A$846.78 on Yes at 9¢, Sep 28
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Kansas City,yes Seattle,yes Washington,yes Houston,yes Los Angeles D56¢2100%+$3.2K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026B6BB6B7FFE9-3D1856F8C961+$0.00
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20266ADCCC3E0B0-228EEF16AE814¢2100%+$5.8K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202672724ED2343-153100BBF1B7¢20%-$845.18
BTC price up in next 15 mins?51¢7254%+$170.31
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 5Nov 2
Profit by month
Jun 2026+$685.21
Jul 2026-$2.3K
Aug 2026+$151.80
Sep 2026+$32.5K
Oct 2026-$22.3K
Nov 2026-$536.56
Kalshi leaderboards
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