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Stats as of

yadin

-$221.16
Tracked Trades
705
First Seen
Jul 25, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 28, 2026
Best In World politics
77% won · 66 settled · +$1.7K

Market maker

Market makers buy both sides of the same markets and earn the spread between them. Each of their trades is half of a hedge, not a pick, so copying one side does not copy how they make money.

Active politics traders who bet one side: tetractys, crackitydanieljones, Scottaholic

yadin is a Kalshi trader with 705 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 54 wins and 36 losses on settled markets, -$221.16 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Likud win above 29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? on Oct 28.

Win rate
60%
Return on settled
-1%
Money traded
$136.2K
Typical trade
$23.68
Avg entry
61¢
Kalshi rank
#4,127

Profit over time

+$32.00-$2.0K
Aug 2Oct 27

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1079%0%-9 pts
20 to 40¢7130%33%+4 pts
40 to 60¢33152%24%-28 pts
60 to 80¢9671%86%+15 pts
Over 80¢10091%100%+9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $21770%-$2.83
$2 to $2417625%-$42.03
$24 to $15017653%-$516.68
$150 to $9.2K17677%+$340.38

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics62373%+$915.30
US elections570%-$24.62
Parlays11+$0.00
US politics1414%-$1.1K

Side taken

Yes 67%33% No

If you had copied yadin

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$310.59
Profit
on $3,400.00 staked
21-13
Record
62% win rate
-9%
Return
76 still open
Profit over time34 settled trades
+$0.00-$644.05
Jul 27Oct 26
-$834.10
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.76×
Profit factor
$989.41 won vs $1.3K lost
+3.7 pts
Edge vs implied
62% won at 58¢ avg
Longest losing streak
4
Deepest drawdown
15 trades

By category

politics31 settled-11%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

64 open positions worth $51.9K

The markets yadin is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what yadin is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Oct 28, 94 fills
No69¢sold 77¢$5.1KExited
KXISRAELKNESSET-26-LIK
Oct 27, 3 fills
Yes32¢sold 74¢$1.3KExited
KXISRAELBLOCMAJ-26OCT27-NONE
Oct 27
Yes92¢$690.00+$60.00
See every position across 109 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Conservative Party finish 3rd in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
    $342.45 on Yes at 32¢, Sep 27
    +$739.55
  2. 2
    Will the margin of victory for Green Party in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election be at least 3%?
    $2.1K on No at 76¢, Oct 4
    +$660.85
  3. 3
    Will Religious Zionist Party win at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
    $917.09 on No at 64¢, Oct 27
    +$505.48
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?66¢45+$0.00
Will Gadi Eizenkot become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?48¢232+$0.00
KXISRAELKNESSET-26-LIK32¢3+$0.00
Will Democratics win the Senate race in South Carolina?87¢5+$0.00
Parlay: Democratic Party + Byron Donalds + Ashley Moody71¢1+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 31Oct 28

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$1.5K
Sep 2026+$1.4K
Oct 2026-$55.47

Kalshi leaderboards

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