Stats as of
yellow.bird
+$6.7K
- Tracked Trades
- 786
- First Seen
- Mar 30, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 11, 2026
- Best In NFL
- 23% won · 31 settled · +$3.9K
yellow.bird is a Kalshi trader with 786 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 125 wins and 69 losses on settled markets, $6.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: SF 49ers over 14.5 points scored on Oct 11.
- Win rate
- 64%
- Return on settled
- +17%
- Money traded
- $173.3K
- Typical trade
- $17
- Avg entry
- 50¢
- Kalshi rank
- #917
Profit over time
+$7.0K-$333
Jun 1Oct 11
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1457%4%-3 pts
20 to 40¢18325%0%-25 pts
40 to 60¢19949%70%+22 pts
60 to 80¢5970%100%+30 pts
Over 80¢20091%100%+9 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $319743%-$9
$3 to $1719752%-$139
$17 to $10119673%+$122
$102 to $20K19684%+$6.7K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Tennis54970%+$2.6K
NFL15723%+$3.9K
Basketball51+$0
Hockey1+$0
Baseball28100%+$121
Side taken
Yes 47%53% No
If you had copied yellow.bird
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$305
Profit
on $15700 staked
122-35
Record
78% win rate
+2%
Return
1 still open
+$327+$0
Aug 17Oct 5
-$2.1K
Max drawdown
263% below peak
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.09×
Profit factor
$3.8K won vs $3.5K lost
+6.8 pts
Edge vs implied
78% won at 71¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 18
- Deepest drawdown
- 28 trades
By category
culture5 settled+21%
sports152 settled+1%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
SF 49ers over 14.5 points scored
Oct 11, 4 fills
New York G wins
Oct 11
Washington wins
Oct 11
Biggest wins
- 1+$4.4KNew Orleans wins$5.4K on No at 55¢, Oct 6
- 2+$2.1KAryna Sabalenka wins$4.3K on No at 67¢, Sep 12
- 3+$1.8KAryna Sabalenka wins$17.3K on No at 91¢, Sep 12
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Aryna Sabalenka wins85¢122100%+$3.9K
Jauan Jennings records 60+ receiving yards1+$0
Drake London records 7+ receptions1+$0
Will Taylor Townsend win the Krejcikova vs Townsend match?54¢76+$0
Will the Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Wimbledon?47¢42100%+$232
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 14Oct 11
Profit by month
Jun 2025+$1.4K
Jul 2025+$232
Dec 2025-$191
Aug 2026+$121
Sep 2026+$924
Oct 2026+$4.1K
Kalshi leaderboards
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