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Stats as of

yieldfarm

+$1.6K
Tracked Trades
669
First Seen
May 6, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 2, 2026
Best In World politics
92% won · 13 settled · +$2.8K

yieldfarm is a Kalshi trader with 669 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 128 wins and 266 losses on settled markets, $1.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Philadelphia win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? on Nov 2.

Win rate
32%
Return on settled
+6%
Money traded
$94.5K
Typical trade
$48.47
Avg entry
38¢
Kalshi rank
#3,221

Profit over time

+$4.7K-$131.00
May 6Nov 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢13511%8%-2 pts
20 to 40¢19731%26%-5 pts
40 to 60¢20051%52%+1 pts
60 to 80¢11567%62%-5 pts
Over 80¢2290%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $2416828%-$588.17
$24 to $4816727%-$1.1K
$49 to $12416739%+$1.1K
$126 to $5.0K16760%+$2.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US elections16513%-$519.31
World politics4592%+$2.8K
Soccer21924%-$3.2K
NFL5157%+$577.30
US politics11+$0.00
Baseball7346%+$1.9K

Side taken

Yes 75%25% No

If you had copied yieldfarm

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$529.51
Profit
on $4,900.00 staked
20-29
Record
41% win rate
+11%
Return
36 still open
Profit over time49 settled trades
+$543.40-$19.96
Aug 17Nov 2
-$921.76
Max drawdown
109% below peak
0.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.18×
Profit factor
$3.4K won vs $2.9K lost
+5.3 pts
Edge vs implied
41% won at 36¢ avg
Longest losing streak
4
Deepest drawdown
18 trades

By category

politics6 settled+18%
sports39 settled+11%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

41 open positions worth $17.9K

The markets yieldfarm is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what yieldfarm is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Chicago wins
Nov 2
Yes39¢$23.97+$37.49
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Maine?
Nov 2, 15 fills
Sold Nosold 68¢$4.2KExited
Will the Democratic Party hold more than 52 seats in the 120th Congress?
Nov 2, 3 fills
Sold Yessold 50¢$148.50Exited
See every position across 286 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Milwaukee win the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship?
    $244.41 on Yes at 9¢, Aug 20
    +$2.5K
  2. 2
    Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before August 1, 2026?
    $4.7K on No at 67¢, Jun 27
    +$2.3K
  3. 3
    Will Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee be the matchup in the Pro Baseball Championship Series?
    $321.83 on Yes at 32¢, Oct 12
    +$679.77
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before August 1, 2026?67¢15100%+$2.3K
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Maine?40¢37+$0.00
Will Vladimir Putin leave President of Russia before Jan 1, 2027?89¢1+$0.00
Will Delcy Rodríguez de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?87¢2+$0.00
Will J.D. Vance be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?60¢14+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 5Nov 2

Profit by month

May 2026+$694.25
Jun 2026+$3.6K
Jul 2026-$3.1K
Aug 2026+$771.11
Sep 2026-$606.51
Oct 2026+$218.95
Nov 2026+$37.49

Kalshi leaderboards

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