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Stats as of

MenacingTurtle

0x012117729450d19b22018ad8c6e9357bcd34f722

+$96.4K
Tracked Trades
250
First Seen
Sep 10, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In Tennis
77% won · 62 settled · +$53.7K

MenacingTurtle is a Polymarket trader with 250 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 136 wins and 31 losses on settled markets, $96.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and the US government take a stake in OpenAI or Anthropic by the end of 2027? on Nov 4.

Win rate
81%
Return on settled
+38%
Money traded
$365.5K
Typical trade
$1.0K
Avg entry
57¢
Polymarket rank
#416

Profit over time

+$96.4K+$0.00
Sep 10Nov 4

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1612%22%+11 pts
20 to 40¢3131%17%-14 pts
40 to 60¢4750%97%+47 pts
60 to 80¢4470%92%+22 pts
Over 80¢11292%100%+8 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$503 to $6986361%-$2.4K
$715 to $1.0K6379%+$5.5K
$1.0K to $1.7K6284%+$20.7K
$1.8K to $8.0K6298%+$72.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Baseball10181%+$40.9K
Tennis7477%+$53.7K
NFL40+$0.00
NBA17+$0.00
Economic data9100%+$916.53
Tech and AI5100%+$470.29

Side taken

Yes 44%56% No

If you had copied MenacingTurtle

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$768.84
Profit
on $3,700.00 staked
29-8
Record
78% win rate
+21%
Return
22 still open
Profit over time37 settled trades
+$768.84+$0.00
Sep 7Nov 2
-$294.93
Max drawdown
39% below peak
2.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.96×
Profit factor
$1.6K won vs $800.00 lost
+11.6 pts
Edge vs implied
78% won at 67¢ avg
Longest losing streak
2
Deepest drawdown
4 trades

By category

culture9 settled+34%
sports22 settled+15%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

21 open positions worth $69.8K

The markets MenacingTurtle is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what MenacingTurtle is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and US gas hit $3.50 by the end of 2026?
Nov 4, 4 fills
No96¢$7.2K+$295.03
Will the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and the US government take a stake in OpenAI or Anthropic by the end of 2027?
Nov 4, 2 fills
No97¢$4.2K+$122.04
Will the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and Israel and Hamas not agree to ceasefire Phase II by the end of 2027?
Nov 4, 2 fills
No87¢$1.5K+$220.33
See every position across 54 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
    $23.6K on Yes at 46¢, Sep 12
    +$27.1K
  2. 2
    Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
    $36.7K on Yes at 59¢, Sep 13
    +$25.5K
  3. 3
    Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
    $16.0K on Yes at 49¢, Oct 29
    +$16.5K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?50¢3673%+$18.2K
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?66¢2281%+$1.4K
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?46¢18100%+$27.1K
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?46¢1671%+$13.2K
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?61¢4100%+$11.4K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$55.5K
Oct 2026+$39.1K
Nov 2026+$1.8K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position51%
Opened a new position25%
Added to a position22%
Closed a position2%

Polymarket leaderboards

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