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Stats as of
PolymarketAGUGava
0x0353aaf82abbd3e69c00059df0a825bc198fc2ff
+$49.7K
- Tracked Trades
- 2,248
- First Seen
- Aug 14, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 20, 2026
- Best In Soccer
- 54% won · 957 settled · +$80.2K
AGUGava is a Polymarket trader with 2,248 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 769 wins and 671 losses on settled markets, $49.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? on Oct 20.
- Win rate
- 53%
- Return on settled
- +1%
- Money traded
- $8.7M
- Typical trade
- $2.5K
- Avg entry
- 52¢
- Polymarket rank
- #536
Profit over time
+$318.5K-$37.7K
Aug 14Oct 20
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢5013%7%-7 pts
20 to 40¢38030%34%+3 pts
40 to 60¢60251%52%+1 pts
60 to 80¢78270%63%-6 pts
Over 80¢43486%77%-10 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$2 to $1.3K56251%+$17.0K
$1.3K to $2.5K56248%-$18.9K
$2.5K to $5.0K56251%-$97.4K
$5.0K to $40K56261%+$148.9K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer152154%+$80.2K
Tennis68954%-$20.7K
Baseball4100%+$34.0K
College football190%-$50.8K
NFL50%-$8.5K
Hockey5100%+$7.8K
Side taken
Yes 92%8% No
If you had copied AGUGava
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$1544
Profit
on $144000 staked
769-671
Record
53% win rate
-1%
Return
9 still open
+$6.5K-$2.4K
Aug 10Oct 19
-$14.1K
Max drawdown
146% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.98×
Profit factor
$65.6K won vs $67.1K lost
-1.6 pts
Edge vs implied
53% won at 55¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 42
- Deepest drawdown
- 772 trades
By category
culture120 settled+11%
sports1320 settled-2%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?
Oct 20
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5
Oct 20, 5 fills
Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-20?
Oct 20, 6 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$143.1KUS Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic$73.3K on Mariano Navone at 34¢, Aug 31
- 2+$80.5KLille OSC vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 5.5$34.9K on Under at 30¢, Sep 8
- 3+$70.2KBelgium vs. France: O/U 2.5$93.3K on Under at 57¢, Sep 28
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Belgium vs. France: O/U 2.557¢42100%+$70.2K
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.563¢190%-$73.6K
Belgium vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.568¢31100%+$32.9K
Türkiye vs. France: O/U 2.571¢19100%+$34.6K
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-17?57¢9100%+$61.2K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 23Oct 20
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$211.5K
Sep 2026-$79.9K
Oct 2026-$81.9K
How they build positions
Opened a new position49%
Closed a position46%
Trimmed a position3%
Added to a position2%
Polymarket leaderboards
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