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Stats as of

SmartBoyBilly

0x1491f3faea8f55eb683eea438d4d6367eb84fd70

-$525.48
Tracked Trades
28
First Seen
Jul 17, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 31, 2026

SmartBoyBilly is a Polymarket trader with 28 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 5 wins and 2 losses on settled markets, -$525.48 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Brian Bengs win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? on Oct 31.

Win rate
71%
Return on settled
-13%
Money traded
$21.4K
Typical trade
$567.60
Avg entry
72¢
Polymarket rank
#8,218

Profit over time

+$536.00-$564.00
Oct 4Oct 30

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢29%
20 to 40¢324%
40 to 60¢255%0%-55 pts
60 to 80¢163%100%+37 pts
Over 80¢2094%100%+6 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $5287100%+$110.34
$530 to $567750%-$476.01
$568 to $725767%-$159.81
$1.1K to $2.9K7+$0.00

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tech and AI3+$0.00
World politics8+$0.00
Companies2+$0.00
NFL333%-$730.01
US elections3100%+$78.53
Fed and rates1+$0.00

Side taken

Yes 25%75% No

If you had copied SmartBoyBilly

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$104.06
Profit
on $700.00 staked
5-2
Record
71% win rate
-15%
Return
13 still open
Profit over time7 settled trades
+$19.79-$111.59
Sep 28Oct 26

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 7 so far.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

12 open positions worth $14.0K

The markets SmartBoyBilly is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what SmartBoyBilly is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Brian Bengs win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?
Oct 31, 2 fills
No93¢sold 94¢$509.34+$38.34
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Oct 24
Sold Yessold 97¢$1.2KExited
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
Oct 23, 2 fills
No91¢sold 94¢$546.00Exited
See every position across 26 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Malik Nabers: Anytime Touchdown
    $630.01 on No at 63¢, Oct 18
    +$370.01
  2. 2
    Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in September?
    $528.00 on No at 88¢, Oct 4
    +$72.00
  3. 3
    Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 21?
    $546.00 on No at 91¢, Oct 18
    +$54.00
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?98¢1+$0.00
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?97¢1+$0.00
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?96¢1+$0.00
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?1+$0.00
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?95¢1+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 3Oct 31

Profit by month

Oct 2026-$525.48

How they build positions

Trimmed a position67%
Opened a new position33%

Polymarket leaderboards

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