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Stats as of

rar111

0x1bb734a860b0ad4f7e0ad58d5a884030a665543b

+$1.4K
Tracked Trades
393
First Seen
Jan 18, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 22, 2026
Best In Commodities
76% won · 25 settled · +$468

rar111 is a Polymarket trader with 393 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 163 wins and 72 losses on settled markets, $1.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027? on Oct 22.

Win rate
69%
Return on settled
+10%
Money traded
$19.9K
Typical trade
$14
Avg entry
29¢
Polymarket rank
#4,024

Profit over time

+$1.4K-$84
Jan 18Oct 22

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢968%11%+3 pts
20 to 40¢3631%33%+2 pts
40 to 60¢4848%56%+8 pts
60 to 80¢3772%88%+17 pts
Over 80¢17692%94%+2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $49927%-$39
$4 to $149865%+$386
$14 to $479890%+$88
$47 to $8759890%+$928

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Fed and rates22577%+$178
Commodities4576%+$468
Weather1988%+$8
Economic data3676%+$16
US politics860%+$6
Cricket1454%+$13

Side taken

Yes 65%35% No

If you had copied rar111

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$680
Profit
on $12700 staked
101-26
Record
80% win rate
+5%
Return
61 still open
Profit over time127 settled trades
+$680-$845
Jul 27Oct 19
-$972
Max drawdown
3656% below peak
0.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.26×
Profit factor
$3.3K won vs $2.6K lost
+5.2 pts
Edge vs implied
80% won at 74¢ avg
Longest losing streak
3
Deepest drawdown
67 trades

By category

finance101 settled+10%
politics5 settled-4%
culture17 settled-10%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

22 open positions worth $751

The markets rar111 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what rar111 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in October?
Oct 22, 2 fills
Yes84¢$123+$24
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.83% in October?
Oct 22, 4 fills
Yes81¢sold 47¢$177+$43
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.89% in October?
Oct 22, 2 fills
Yes85¢$77+$13
See every position across 209 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    $250 on Yes at 18¢, Jul 7
    +$1.1K
  2. 2
    Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?
    $10 on Yes at 2¢, May 23
    +$425
  3. 3
    Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?
    $344 on Yes at 84¢, Oct 16
    +$67
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 10, 2026?100¢2100%+$2
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 6?100¢2100%+$6
Will SOFR hit 3.60% (Low) between April 1 and April 30?100¢1100%+$1
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?98¢2100%+$8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?100¢1100%+$1

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 25Oct 22

Profit by month

Jan 2026+$6
Feb 2026+$18
Mar 2026-$27
Apr 2026-$42
May 2026+$390
Jun 2026-$4
Jul 2026+$684
Aug 2026-$87
Sep 2026+$175
Oct 2026+$249

Polymarket leaderboards

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