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Stats as of

firegold

0x1d5f88f1b97317cccad804374e5bd847512e634d

+$3.7K
Tracked Trades
127
First Seen
Aug 22, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 1, 2026
Best In Fed and rates
70% won · 50 settled · +$2.6K

firegold is a Polymarket trader with 127 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 46 wins and 17 losses on settled markets, $3.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? on Nov 1.

Win rate
73%
Return on settled
+5%
Money traded
$165.7K
Typical trade
$920.03
Avg entry
69¢
Polymarket rank
#2,525

Profit over time

+$3.7K-$8.6K
Aug 24Oct 30

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢411%
20 to 40¢434%
40 to 60¢3452%40%-12 pts
60 to 80¢4368%76%+8 pts
Over 80¢4289%95%+5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$500 to $6243257%-$518.93
$640 to $9203280%-$269.67
$920 to $1.5K3275%+$1.2K
$1.5K to $11K3178%+$3.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Fed and rates9970%+$2.6K
World politics9+$0.00
Commodities633%-$1.1K
Bitcoin6100%+$1.4K
Economic data3+$0.00
Ethereum4100%+$875.00

Side taken

Yes 82%18% No

If you had copied firegold

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$52.75
Profit
on $2,100.00 staked
15-6
Record
71% win rate
-3%
Return
13 still open
Profit over time21 settled trades
+$35.40-$264.60
Aug 17Oct 26
-$417.58
Max drawdown
273% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.91×
Profit factor
$547.25 won vs $600.00 lost
-1.8 pts
Edge vs implied
71% won at 73¢ avg
Longest losing streak
3
Deepest drawdown
8 trades

By category

crypto5 settled+36%
finance12 settled-5%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

11 open positions worth $45.2K

The markets firegold is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what firegold is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Nov 1, 3 fills
Yes10¢sold 12¢$1.2KExited
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?
Oct 30, 2 fills
No94¢$1.9K+$111.00
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October?
Oct 30, 2 fills
No89¢$1.8K+$220.00
See every position across 38 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?
    $15.6K on Yes at 69¢, Oct 6
    +$6.9K
  2. 2
    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $5.5K on Yes at 61¢, Sep 11
    +$3.5K
  3. 3
    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
    $6.2K on Yes at 68¢, Oct 20
    +$2.8K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?61¢180%-$8.7K
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?69¢9100%+$6.9K
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?83¢2+$0.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?61¢10100%+$3.5K
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?88¢3+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 4Nov 1

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$7.6K
Sep 2026+$5.4K
Oct 2026+$5.9K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position77%
Added to a position12%
Closed a position7%
Opened a new position5%

Polymarket leaderboards

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