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Stats as of

QMG-SCALAR

0x1d620ed68c4fd00b189207ed1f8c13222766d76b

+$1.4K
Tracked Trades
64
First Seen
Aug 23, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 2, 2026
Best In Fed and rates
100% won · 23 settled · +$786.06

This trader is a closer

68% of this trader's buys are at 95¢ or higher, on outcomes that are nearly decided. The win rate is high because the odds are short: copying them risks 95¢ or more to make 5¢ or less. If you want better odds, skip their 95¢+ buys or pick someone else.

QMG-SCALAR is a Polymarket trader with 64 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 33 wins and 0 losses on settled markets, $1.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? on Nov 2.

Win rate
100%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$192.0K
Typical trade
$2.2K
Avg entry
97¢
Polymarket rank
#3,266

Profit over time

+$1.4K+$0.00
Aug 23Nov 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Over 80¢6497%100%+3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$506 to $99716100%+$38.86
$997 to $2.0K16100%+$107.86
$2.3K to $4.7K16100%+$239.52
$4.7K to $10.0K16100%+$1.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Fed and rates25100%+$786.06
Commodities11+$0.00
World politics12100%+$428.96
Economic data7+$0.00
US elections4100%+$181.22
Weather5+$0.00

Side taken

Yes 8%92% No

If you had copied QMG-SCALAR

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$17.70
Profit
on $1,000.00 staked
10-0
Record
100% win rate
+2%
Return
5 still open
Profit over time10 settled trades
+$17.70+$0.00
Aug 17Nov 2

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 10 so far.

By category

politics5 settled+3%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

5 open positions worth $60.7K

The markets QMG-SCALAR is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what QMG-SCALAR is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Nov 2, 3 fills
Yes98¢$7.1K+$162.36
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Oct 30
No97¢$706.59+$18.86
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Oct 26, 5 fills
No100¢$10.5K+$28.50
See every position across 14 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $40.1K on No at 98¢, Aug 28
    +$648.06
  2. 2
    Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $15.6K on No at 98¢, Sep 30
    +$368.00
  3. 3
    Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
    $7.1K on Yes at 98¢, Nov 2
    +$162.36
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?98¢9100%+$648.06
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?94¢11+$0.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?100¢2100%+$20.00
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?98¢7100%+$368.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?100¢6100%+$69.50

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 5Nov 2

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$1.0K
Sep 2026+$18.00
Oct 2026+$343.28
Nov 2026+$16.90

How they build positions

Added to a position53%
Opened a new position35%
Trimmed a position12%

Polymarket leaderboards

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