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Stats as of

BikesAreTheBikes

0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c

+$3.7K
Tracked Trades
115
First Seen
Aug 22, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 28, 2026
Best In World politics
79% won · 58 settled · +$3.9K

BikesAreTheBikes is a Polymarket trader with 115 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 59 wins and 19 losses on settled markets, $3.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? on Oct 28.

Win rate
76%
Return on settled
+4%
Money traded
$135.3K
Typical trade
$802.87
Avg entry
59¢
Polymarket rank
#2,689

Profit over time

+$6.2K-$5.6K
Aug 24Oct 28

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢218%0%-17 pts
20 to 40¢831%25%-6 pts
40 to 60¢2951%65%+14 pts
60 to 80¢4870%83%+12 pts
Over 80¢2889%88%-1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$500 to $6162963%-$1.1K
$619 to $8032975%+$1.9K
$818 to $1.2K2990%+$10.7K
$1.2K to $10K2874%-$7.8K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics8279%+$3.9K
US elections3100%+$1.8K
Entertainment6100%+$1.3K
Commodities660%-$1.7K
Tech and AI60%-$1.9K
US politics2+$0.00

Side taken

Yes 26%74% No

If you had copied BikesAreTheBikes

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$169.72
Profit
on $4,900.00 staked
35-14
Record
71% win rate
-3%
Return
29 still open
Profit over time49 settled trades
+$25.73-$343.09
Aug 17Oct 26
-$556.25
Max drawdown
749% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.88×
Profit factor
$1.2K won vs $1.4K lost
+0.0 pts
Edge vs implied
71% won at 71¢ avg
Longest losing streak
3
Deepest drawdown
12 trades

By category

politics31 settled+0%
culture17 settled-12%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

29 open positions worth $46.5K

The markets BikesAreTheBikes is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what BikesAreTheBikes is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Oct 28, 3 fills
No88¢$6.3K+$893.03
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Oct 27
No92¢$1.2K+$100.00
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Oct 25
Yes34¢$515.15-$515.15
See every position across 72 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
    $4.4K on No at 48¢, Sep 19
    +$4.8K
  2. 2
    Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
    $5.1K on No at 57¢, Oct 9
    +$3.8K
  3. 3
    Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
    $1.9K on Yes at 42¢, Oct 5
    +$2.6K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?55¢3+$0.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?85¢5100%+$1.4K
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?54¢20%-$7.2K
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?88¢3100%+$893.03
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?75¢1100%+$1.7K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 31Oct 28

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$3.7K
Sep 2026+$9.3K
Oct 2026-$2.0K

How they build positions

Opened a new position100%

Polymarket leaderboards

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