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Stats as of
whypredictionissohard
0x2320f3ac1db8dc31791af2c92d476b2031e5e996
+$640
- Tracked Trades
- 319
- First Seen
- Sep 26, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 24, 2026
- Best In NBA
- 61% won · 36 settled · +$2.8K
whypredictionissohard is a Polymarket trader with 319 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 115 wins and 121 losses on settled markets, $640 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5 on Oct 24.
- Win rate
- 49%
- Return on settled
- +1%
- Money traded
- $81.8K
- Typical trade
- $25
- Avg entry
- 76¢
- Polymarket rank
- #8,459
Profit over time
+$640-$4.0K
Sep 26Oct 24
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6510%12%+1 pts
20 to 40¢4729%31%+2 pts
40 to 60¢7851%61%+10 pts
60 to 80¢2668%64%-4 pts
Over 80¢10395%78%-16 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $68024%+$14
$7 to $258040%-$105
$26 to $1738059%-$162
$199 to $2.4K7980%+$893
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer21251%-$1.6K
NBA4561%+$2.8K
Esports178%-$403
WNBA929%-$148
NFL2144%-$108
Tennis750%+$2
Side taken
Yes 90%10% No
If you had copied whypredictionissohard
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$3675
Profit
on $19200 staked
98-94
Record
51% win rate
+19%
Return
1 still open
+$3.7K-$354
Sep 21Oct 19
-$1.7K
Max drawdown
268% below peak
2.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.39×
Profit factor
$13.1K won vs $9.4K lost
+2.7 pts
Edge vs implied
51% won at 48¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 6
- Deepest drawdown
- 68 trades
By category
sports189 settled+20%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5
Oct 24, 2 fills
Will Valencia CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?
Oct 24, 2 fills
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-24?
Oct 24, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$4.3KSS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5$4.9K on Over at 53¢, Oct 24
- 2+$1.8KJazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5$2.0K on Under at 53¢, Oct 21
- 3+$550Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-24?$4.5K on Yes at 89¢, Oct 24
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-17?90¢3100%+$460
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17?90¢3100%+$420
SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.553¢2100%+$4.3K
Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-16?91¢2100%+$462
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-24?89¢2100%+$550
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 27Oct 24
Profit by month
Sep 2026-$428
Oct 2026+$1.1K
How they build positions
Trimmed a position67%
Closed a position33%
Polymarket leaderboards
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