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Stats as of

whypredictionissohard

0x2320f3ac1db8dc31791af2c92d476b2031e5e996

+$640
Tracked Trades
319
First Seen
Sep 26, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 24, 2026
Best In NBA
61% won · 36 settled · +$2.8K

whypredictionissohard is a Polymarket trader with 319 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 115 wins and 121 losses on settled markets, $640 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5 on Oct 24.

Win rate
49%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$81.8K
Typical trade
$25
Avg entry
76¢
Polymarket rank
#8,459

Profit over time

+$640-$4.0K
Sep 26Oct 24

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6510%12%+1 pts
20 to 40¢4729%31%+2 pts
40 to 60¢7851%61%+10 pts
60 to 80¢2668%64%-4 pts
Over 80¢10395%78%-16 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $68024%+$14
$7 to $258040%-$105
$26 to $1738059%-$162
$199 to $2.4K7980%+$893

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Soccer21251%-$1.6K
NBA4561%+$2.8K
Esports178%-$403
WNBA929%-$148
NFL2144%-$108
Tennis750%+$2

Side taken

Yes 90%10% No

If you had copied whypredictionissohard

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$3675
Profit
on $19200 staked
98-94
Record
51% win rate
+19%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time192 settled trades
+$3.7K-$354
Sep 21Oct 19
-$1.7K
Max drawdown
268% below peak
2.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.39×
Profit factor
$13.1K won vs $9.4K lost
+2.7 pts
Edge vs implied
51% won at 48¢ avg
Longest losing streak
6
Deepest drawdown
68 trades

By category

sports189 settled+20%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5
Oct 24, 2 fills
Over53¢$4.9K+$4.3K
Will Valencia CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?
Oct 24, 2 fills
Yes64¢$2.8K-$2.8K
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-24?
Oct 24, 2 fills
Yes89¢$4.5K+$550
See every position across 194 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5
    $4.9K on Over at 53¢, Oct 24
    +$4.3K
  2. 2
    Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5
    $2.0K on Under at 53¢, Oct 21
    +$1.8K
  3. 3
    Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-24?
    $4.5K on Yes at 89¢, Oct 24
    +$550
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-17?90¢3100%+$460
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17?90¢3100%+$420
SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.553¢2100%+$4.3K
Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-16?91¢2100%+$462
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-24?89¢2100%+$550

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 27Oct 24

Profit by month

Sep 2026-$428
Oct 2026+$1.1K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position67%
Closed a position33%

Polymarket leaderboards

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