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Stats as of
arjennnnn
0x24ded84d901a743cfee095f8082b0f9f647183cb
+$98.5K
- Tracked Trades
- 562
- First Seen
- Aug 29, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 3, 2026
- Best In Fed and rates
- 100% won · 60 settled · +$97.7K
arjennnnn is a Polymarket trader with 562 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 380 wins and 67 losses on settled markets, $98.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? on Nov 3.
- Win rate
- 85%
- Return on settled
- +4%
- Money traded
- $3.1M
- Typical trade
- $1.8K
- Avg entry
- 88¢
- Polymarket rank
- #384
Profit over time
+$98.5K-$96.0K
Aug 29Nov 3
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1213%
20 to 40¢1532%0%-32 pts
40 to 60¢2550%73%+23 pts
60 to 80¢9673%78%+5 pts
Over 80¢41491%87%-3 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$500 to $92814182%-$3.1K
$930 to $1.8K14180%-$12.6K
$1.8K to $4.6K14087%+$2.8K
$4.6K to $103K14091%+$111.3K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Esports26985%+$37.9K
Fed and rates68100%+$97.7K
World politics13472%-$44.2K
US elections52100%+$51.3K
NBA70%-$32.4K
Soccer17100%+$1.8K
Side taken
Yes 75%25% No
If you had copied arjennnnn
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$335.30
Profit
on $11,500.00 staked
94-21
Record
82% win rate
-3%
Return
3 still open
+$44.90-$452.05
Aug 24Nov 2
-$615.42
Max drawdown
1099% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.84×
Profit factor
$1.8K won vs $2.1K lost
-2.7 pts
Edge vs implied
82% won at 84¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 2
- Deepest drawdown
- 71 trades
By category
sports85 settled-3%
politics26 settled-8%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Nov 3, 9 fills
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Nov 3, 40 fills
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?
Nov 3, 4 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$55.4KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?$489.7K on Yes at 90¢, Oct 27
- 2+$27.2KWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$392.4K on Yes at 94¢, Nov 3
- 3+$24.1KWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?$250.5K on No at 91¢, Oct 26
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?90¢27100%+$55.4K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?94¢40100%+$27.2K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?91¢27100%+$24.1K
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84¢330%-$50.8K
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?94¢4294%+$1.2K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 6Nov 3
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$771.36
Sep 2026+$13.5K
Oct 2026+$58.3K
Nov 2026+$25.9K
How they build positions
Added to a position31%
Opened a new position30%
Trimmed a position20%
Closed a position18%
Polymarket leaderboards
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