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Stats as of

arjennnnn

0x24ded84d901a743cfee095f8082b0f9f647183cb

+$98.5K
Tracked Trades
562
First Seen
Aug 29, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In Fed and rates
100% won · 60 settled · +$97.7K

arjennnnn is a Polymarket trader with 562 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 380 wins and 67 losses on settled markets, $98.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? on Nov 3.

Win rate
85%
Return on settled
+4%
Money traded
$3.1M
Typical trade
$1.8K
Avg entry
88¢
Polymarket rank
#384

Profit over time

+$98.5K-$96.0K
Aug 29Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1213%
20 to 40¢1532%0%-32 pts
40 to 60¢2550%73%+23 pts
60 to 80¢9673%78%+5 pts
Over 80¢41491%87%-3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$500 to $92814182%-$3.1K
$930 to $1.8K14180%-$12.6K
$1.8K to $4.6K14087%+$2.8K
$4.6K to $103K14091%+$111.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Esports26985%+$37.9K
Fed and rates68100%+$97.7K
World politics13472%-$44.2K
US elections52100%+$51.3K
NBA70%-$32.4K
Soccer17100%+$1.8K

Side taken

Yes 75%25% No

If you had copied arjennnnn

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$335.30
Profit
on $11,500.00 staked
94-21
Record
82% win rate
-3%
Return
3 still open
Profit over time115 settled trades
+$44.90-$452.05
Aug 24Nov 2
-$615.42
Max drawdown
1099% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.84×
Profit factor
$1.8K won vs $2.1K lost
-2.7 pts
Edge vs implied
82% won at 84¢ avg
Longest losing streak
2
Deepest drawdown
71 trades

By category

sports85 settled-3%
politics26 settled-8%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Nov 3, 9 fills
Yes75¢$68.7K+$22.9K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Nov 3, 40 fills
Yes94¢sold 94¢$392.4K+$27.2K
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?
Nov 3, 4 fills
No97¢sold 92¢$9.9K+$306.32
See every position across 105 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
    $489.7K on Yes at 90¢, Oct 27
    +$55.4K
  2. 2
    Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
    $392.4K on Yes at 94¢, Nov 3
    +$27.2K
  3. 3
    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
    $250.5K on No at 91¢, Oct 26
    +$24.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?90¢27100%+$55.4K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?94¢40100%+$27.2K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?91¢27100%+$24.1K
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84¢330%-$50.8K
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?94¢4294%+$1.2K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$771.36
Sep 2026+$13.5K
Oct 2026+$58.3K
Nov 2026+$25.9K

How they build positions

Added to a position31%
Opened a new position30%
Trimmed a position20%
Closed a position18%

Polymarket leaderboards

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