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Stats as of

themagicofcinema

0x33e27ac64a453337cfcea8345c705a407c573a1b

+$2.4K
Tracked Trades
755
First Seen
Aug 23, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 1, 2026
Best In Commodities
62% won · 13 settled · +$8.2K

themagicofcinema is a Polymarket trader with 755 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 335 wins and 73 losses on settled markets, $2.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? on Nov 1.

Win rate
82%
Return on settled
+0%
Money traded
$2.0M
Typical trade
$1.5K
Avg entry
69¢
Polymarket rank
#3,116

Profit over time

+$24.7K-$20.3K
Aug 23Oct 31

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3112%42%+30 pts
20 to 40¢4326%19%-7 pts
40 to 60¢5752%87%+35 pts
60 to 80¢18371%67%-4 pts
Over 80¢44192%93%+0 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$500 to $74718984%+$27.2K
$747 to $1.5K18979%+$257.77
$1.5K to $3.1K18977%-$29.6K
$3.1K to $29K18889%+$4.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics50481%-$4.4K
US elections6580%-$9.3K
Tech and AI45100%+$651.51
Companies30100%+$987.40
Commodities2162%+$8.2K
Fed and rates575%+$5.2K

Side taken

Yes 57%43% No

If you had copied themagicofcinema

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$948.96
Profit
on $10,100.00 staked
73-28
Record
72% win rate
+9%
Return
34 still open
Profit over time101 settled trades
+$1.7K-$100.00
Aug 17Oct 26
-$932.14
Max drawdown
50% below peak
1.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.34×
Profit factor
$3.7K won vs $2.8K lost
-0.3 pts
Edge vs implied
72% won at 73¢ avg
Longest losing streak
4
Deepest drawdown
38 trades

By category

politics72 settled+14%
culture20 settled+9%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

22 open positions worth $132.7K

The markets themagicofcinema is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what themagicofcinema is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Nov 1, 5 fills
No23¢sold 25¢$28.5K-$28.5K
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
Oct 31, 4 fills
No77¢sold 77¢$8.3KExited
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Oct 31, 8 fills
No77¢$94.9K+$28.0K
See every position across 130 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $178.8K on Yes at 84¢, Oct 26
    +$34.7K
  2. 2
    Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
    $94.9K on No at 77¢, Oct 31
    +$28.0K
  3. 3
    US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
    $1.4K on No at 10¢, Aug 24
    +$12.7K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?83¢8993%+$20.8K
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?89¢4567%-$14.4K
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?73¢1180%+$25.7K
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?78¢14100%+$10.0K
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?97¢30100%+$981.60

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 4Nov 1

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$15.9K
Sep 2026+$3.1K
Oct 2026+$15.2K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position48%
Opened a new position23%
Closed a position15%
Added to a position14%

Polymarket leaderboards

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