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Stats as of

melchior1248

0x36901eb0f21519cc9055662a6d2483e96da1e16f

+$5.3K
Tracked Trades
314
First Seen
Sep 16, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In Soccer
98% won · 115 settled · +$13.4K

melchior1248 is a Polymarket trader with 314 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 229 wins and 41 losses on settled markets, $5.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Democrats win 9 or more House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections? on Nov 4.

Win rate
85%
Return on settled
+2%
Money traded
$280.7K
Typical trade
$803.00
Avg entry
82¢
Polymarket rank
#2,433

Profit over time

+$5.3K-$8.2K
Sep 16Nov 4

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
20 to 40¢430%50%+20 pts
40 to 60¢1856%71%+15 pts
60 to 80¢6473%70%-3 pts
Over 80¢22890%91%+1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$502 to $6517983%+$5.6K
$651 to $8037985%+$4.0K
$803 to $9467883%-$3.5K
$947 to $3.4K7888%-$789.11

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics14171%-$9.3K
Soccer11798%+$13.4K
Fed and rates15+$0.00
Parlays7100%+$360.96
US elections12100%+$663.54
Esports5100%+$264.20

Side taken

Yes 13%87% No

If you had copied melchior1248

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$222.85
Profit
on $5,100.00 staked
41-10
Record
80% win rate
+4%
Return
22 still open
Profit over time51 settled trades
+$222.85-$227.62
Sep 14Nov 2
-$294.14
Max drawdown
5569% below peak
0.8×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.22×
Profit factor
$1.2K won vs $1.0K lost
-0.1 pts
Edge vs implied
80% won at 80¢ avg
Longest losing streak
2
Deepest drawdown
18 trades

By category

politics35 settled+5%
sports11 settled-3%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

22 open positions worth $41.4K

The markets melchior1248 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what melchior1248 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Nov 4
Yes98¢$1.7K+$37.52
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Nov 4
Yes87¢$560.27+$83.72
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Nov 3, 5 fills
No93¢$5.0K+$376.70
See every position across 70 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
    $53.7K on No at 89¢, Oct 26
    +$6.6K
  2. 2
    Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
    $7.0K on No at 62¢, Oct 25
    +$4.2K
  3. 3
    Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
    $24.5K on No at 86¢, Oct 26
    +$4.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?89¢56100%+$6.6K
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?86¢24100%+$4.1K
Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?85¢18100%+$2.6K
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?83¢1811%-$12.2K
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?87¢12100%+$1.6K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Sep 2026-$1.3K
Oct 2026+$5.8K
Nov 2026+$831.50

How they build positions

Opened a new position67%
Added to a position33%

Polymarket leaderboards

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