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Stats as of

TheReturnOfDarthMaul

0x3a8aa345d5db7ec5138298c8c4f4540259be7699

+$2.5M
Tracked Trades
3,457
First Seen
Aug 6, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 30, 2026
Best In Fed and rates
84% won · 1,696 settled · +$2.4M

TheReturnOfDarthMaul is a Polymarket trader with 3,457 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 1,679 wins and 429 losses on settled markets, $2.5M net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? on Oct 30.

Win rate
80%
Return on settled
+32%
Money traded
$8.9M
Typical trade
$182.10
Avg entry
67¢
Polymarket rank
#28

Profit over time

+$2.84M+$0.00
Aug 6Oct 28

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢30911%1%-10 pts
20 to 40¢45128%97%+69 pts
40 to 60¢39950%88%+38 pts
60 to 80¢121474%71%-3 pts
Over 80¢108487%100%+13 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1986567%+$630.27
$19 to $18286469%+$3.0K
$182 to $92686485%+$141.4K
$928 to $990K86490%+$2.4M

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Fed and rates231784%+$2.4M
World politics45558%+$138.6K
US elections259+$0.00
Companies399100%+$1.5K
Parlays26100%+$5.3K
Bitcoin1+$0.00

Side taken

Yes 86%14% No

If you had copied TheReturnOfDarthMaul

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$677.25
Profit
on $1,900.00 staked
14-5
Record
74% win rate
+36%
Return
34 still open
Profit over time19 settled trades
+$679.22+$0.00
Aug 3Oct 26

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 19 so far.

By category

finance8 settled+66%
politics10 settled+25%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

32 open positions worth $893.9K

The markets TheReturnOfDarthMaul is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what TheReturnOfDarthMaul is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Oct 30, 38 fills
Sold Nosold 51¢$23.1KExited
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Oct 30, 34 fills
No80¢sold 79¢$10.1KExited
See every position across 56 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $5.2M on Yes at 68¢, Sep 16
    +$2.4M
  2. 2
    Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $220.9K on Yes at 57¢, Oct 23
    +$164.3K
  3. 3
    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
    $126.8K on No at 44¢, Sep 14
    +$163.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?68¢1313100%+$2.4M
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?99¢19100%+$21.5K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?28¢2370%-$264.0K
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?57¢89100%+$164.3K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House28¢210+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 2Oct 30

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$1.6M
Sep 2026+$977.2K
Oct 2026-$71.9K

How they build positions

Added to a position81%
Trimmed a position15%
Opened a new position4%

Polymarket leaderboards

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