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Stats as of

okada

0x3cb1a3631e49257e311d40051066ab074c765e96

+$2.2K
Tracked Trades
48
First Seen
Aug 22, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 21, 2026
Best In World politics
100% won · 13 settled · +$2.4K

okada is a Polymarket trader with 48 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 22 wins and 2 losses on settled markets, $2.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? on Oct 21.

Win rate
92%
Return on settled
+13%
Money traded
$55.9K
Typical trade
$725
Avg entry
65¢
Polymarket rank
#2,608

Profit over time

+$2.8K-$373
Aug 22Oct 5

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢116%
20 to 40¢238%
40 to 60¢848%
60 to 80¢1177%100%+23 pts
Over 80¢2687%89%+2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$373 to $6001280%+$203
$600 to $7001289%+$240
$750 to $1.1K12100%+$1.3K
$1.2K to $7.8K12100%+$504

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics36100%+$2.4K
Tech and AI5100%+$288
Soccer3100%+$307
US politics367%-$410
Fed and rates10%-$373

Side taken

Yes 40%60% No

If you had copied okada

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$233
Profit
on $2400 staked
22-2
Record
92% win rate
+10%
Return
14 still open
Profit over time24 settled trades
+$276-$89
Aug 17Oct 19
-$100
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
2.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.17×
Profit factor
$433 won vs $200 lost
+7.7 pts
Edge vs implied
92% won at 84¢ avg
Longest losing streak
1
Deepest drawdown
1 trades

By category

politics12 settled+15%
culture12 settled+4%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

3 open positions worth $30.9K

The markets okada is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what okada is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 14, 2026?
Oct 5
No87¢$600-$600
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?
Oct 5, 2 fills
No78¢$1.6K+$459
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?
Oct 2, 2 fills
Yes86¢sold 78¢$900+$148
See every position across 20 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?
    $2.6K on No at 84¢, Sep 1
    +$504
  2. 2
    Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    $1.2K on No at 71¢, Sep 18
    +$490
  3. 3
    Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?
    $1.6K on No at 78¢, Oct 5
    +$459
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?79¢4+$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?42¢11+$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?84¢2100%+$504
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?88¢4+$0
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?89¢3100%+$158

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 24Oct 21

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$204
Sep 2026+$2.0K
Oct 2026-$1

How they build positions

Trimmed a position50%
Closed a position33%
Added to a position8%
Opened a new position8%

Polymarket leaderboards

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