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Stats as of

scrapbook

0x414b394fbf7a06d3efc58934bd1602ff08c80d3f

-$56.7K
Tracked Trades
1,036
First Seen
Oct 24, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 21, 2026
Best In World politics
48% won · 366 settled · +$7.7K

scrapbook is a Polymarket trader with 1,036 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 245 wins and 528 losses on settled markets, -$56.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? on Oct 21.

Win rate
32%
Return on settled
-30%
Money traded
$344.9K
Typical trade
$95
Avg entry
26¢
Polymarket rank
#8,174

Profit over time

+$0-$66.0K
Oct 24Oct 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢32911%8%-3 pts
20 to 40¢28827%15%-12 pts
40 to 60¢10949%43%-6 pts
60 to 80¢23269%84%+15 pts
Over 80¢7891%100%+9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2125927%-$51
$21 to $9525937%+$224
$95 to $31025926%-$19.4K
$315 to $10.0K25939%-$37.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics52648%+$7.7K
Companies3093%-$65.3K
US elections7130%-$1.2K
Soccer4556%+$1.9K
Entertainment2852%-$213
Fed and rates260%-$4.5K

Side taken

Yes 50%50% No

If you had copied scrapbook

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$1075
Profit
on $1800 staked
12-6
Record
67% win rate
+60%
Return
30 still open
Profit over time18 settled trades
+$1.1K-$323
Aug 17Oct 19

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 18 so far.

By category

politics13 settled+121%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

8 open positions worth $18.6K

The markets scrapbook is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what scrapbook is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Oct 21, 3 fills
Yes72¢sold 87¢$720Exited
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Oct 15, 2 fills
Sold Nosold 72¢$2.9KExited
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Oct 13, 5 fills
Yes69¢sold 72¢$1.7KExited
See every position across 215 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
    $2.7K on Yes at 21¢, Feb 8
    +$10.4K
  2. 2
    Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $4.8K on No at 39¢, Oct 3
    +$7.5K
  3. 3
    Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
    $12.0K on Yes at 70¢, Feb 11
    +$5.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?16¢1970%-$44.2K
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?70¢17100%+$5.1K
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?21¢620%-$20.4K
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?21¢13100%+$10.4K
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win 180 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?71¢28100%+$1.1K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 24Oct 21

Profit by month

Nov 2025-$60.3K
Dec 2025+$3.3K
Jan 2026+$710
Feb 2026+$17.1K
Mar 2026-$168
Apr 2026-$16.5K
May 2026-$326
Jun 2026-$2.9K
Jul 2026+$5.1K
Aug 2026-$5.6K
Sep 2026-$541
Oct 2026+$8.3K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position58%
Closed a position25%
Opened a new position17%

Polymarket leaderboards

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