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Stats as of

Toncar16

0x41583f2efc720b8e2682750fffb67f2806fece9f

+$19.6K
Tracked Trades
1,021
First Seen
Jun 8, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 19, 2026
Best In Commodities
44% won · 39 settled · +$5.4K

Toncar16 is a Polymarket trader with 1,021 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 232 wins and 401 losses on settled markets, $19.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Paris curfew by October 24? on Oct 19.

Win rate
37%
Return on settled
+19%
Money traded
$226.1K
Typical trade
$125
Avg entry
25¢
Polymarket rank
#8,055

Profit over time

+$21.7K+$0
Jun 8Oct 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢32810%9%-1 pts
20 to 40¢34329%37%+8 pts
40 to 60¢19450%59%+10 pts
60 to 80¢11768%73%+4 pts
Over 80¢3989%100%+11 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $4325628%-$66
$44 to $12525531%-$730
$125 to $30025543%+$6.1K
$300 to $3.1K25551%+$14.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics80834%+$4.5K
Commodities7344%+$5.4K
Soccer3943%+$3.8K
Other politics27100%+$4.5K
US politics2553%+$2.2K
Other finance2540%+$724

Side taken

Yes 68%32% No

If you had copied Toncar16

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$4904
Profit
on $19500 staked
71-124
Record
36% win rate
+25%
Return
51 still open
Profit over time195 settled trades
+$4.9K-$725
Jul 20Oct 19
-$5.9K
Max drawdown
116% below peak
0.8×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.40×
Profit factor
$17.3K won vs $12.4K lost
+7.0 pts
Edge vs implied
36% won at 29¢ avg
Longest losing streak
27
Deepest drawdown
76 trades

By category

politics171 settled+36%
finance14 settled-48%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

9 open positions worth $4.6K

The markets Toncar16 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Toncar16 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Paris curfew by October 24?
Oct 19, 6 fills
Yes48¢sold 90¢$1.2K+$1.3K
Paris curfew by October 21?
Oct 19, 14 fills
Yes42¢sold 79¢$1.4K+$1.9K
Paris curfew by October 19?
Oct 19, 7 fills
Yes28¢sold 2¢$488+$1.3K
See every position across 243 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
    $2.9K on Yes at 29¢, Jun 15
    +$7.2K
  2. 2
    Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
    $2.0K on Yes at 24¢, Jun 14
    +$6.4K
  3. 3
    Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
    $1.8K on Yes at 28¢, Jul 6
    +$4.6K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?29¢18100%+$7.2K
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?49¢4+$0
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?23¢2171%+$5.9K
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?40¢8100%+$2.6K
Paris curfew by October 21?42¢14100%+$1.9K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 22Oct 19

Profit by month

Jun 2026+$19.2K
Jul 2026+$2.9K
Aug 2026-$7.1K
Sep 2026-$1.7K
Oct 2026+$6.1K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position54%
Closed a position46%

Polymarket leaderboards

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