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Stats as of

5038813185

0x453ae5e896ea243f332ed97c1c77bf2888ce81d2

+$74.4K
Tracked Trades
182
First Seen
Aug 20, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 25, 2026
Best In Tennis
100% won · 10 settled · +$22.1K

5038813185 is a Polymarket trader with 182 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 42 wins and 47 losses on settled markets, $74.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? on Oct 25.

Win rate
47%
Return on settled
+64%
Money traded
$254.6K
Typical trade
$924.07
Avg entry
25¢
Polymarket rank
#461

Profit over time

+$95.9K+$0.00
Aug 23Sep 16

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6812%14%+2 pts
20 to 40¢3829%52%+23 pts
40 to 60¢4547%71%+24 pts
60 to 80¢2267%100%+33 pts
Over 80¢988%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$503 to $6654628%-$2.0K
$679 to $9274643%+$21.2K
$927 to $1.5K4557%+$14.5K
$1.5K to $12K4579%+$40.7K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Commodities7445%+$15.3K
Fed and rates1440%+$9.2K
World politics4217%+$13.5K
Tennis12100%+$22.1K
NFL1886%+$7.1K
Bitcoin1371%+$4.4K

Side taken

Yes 64%36% No

If you had copied 5038813185

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$2,846.35
Profit
on $2,500.00 staked
14-11
Record
56% win rate
+114%
Return
4 still open
Profit over time25 settled trades
+$3.0K+$0.00
Aug 17Oct 19
-$300.00
Max drawdown
11% below peak
9.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
3.59×
Profit factor
$3.9K won vs $1.1K lost
+22.4 pts
Edge vs implied
56% won at 34¢ avg
Longest losing streak
3
Deepest drawdown
3 trades

By category

politics6 settled+296%
sports7 settled+121%
culture6 settled+39%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

2 open positions worth $11.1K

The markets 5038813185 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what 5038813185 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Oct 25, 2 fills
No24¢sold 17¢$679.01Exited
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
Oct 6, 9 fills
Yes8¢sold 5¢$4.1KExited
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
Sep 18, 10 fills
Yes14¢sold 9¢$5.1KExited
See every position across 32 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?
    $17.2K on Yes at 41¢, Sep 1
    +$24.8K
  2. 2
    US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic
    $12.9K on Mariano Navone at 37¢, Aug 31
    +$22.1K
  3. 3
    US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
    $1.5K on No at 7¢, Aug 23
    +$20.5K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Fed rate hike in 2026?66¢9100%+$12.1K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?41¢13100%+$24.8K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?16¢230%-$9.6K
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic37¢12100%+$22.1K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?22¢80%-$5.8K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 28Oct 25

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$71.2K
Sep 2026+$3.3K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position64%
Closed a position26%
Opened a new position7%
Added to a position3%

Polymarket leaderboards

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