rivomarkets

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Stats as of

merch

0x45e856f0023259664606b6c370e82d072b24cc6c

+$5.6K
Tracked Trades
791
First Seen
Aug 2, 2024
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In US elections
88% won · 32 settled · +$3.9K

merch is a Polymarket trader with 791 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 413 wins and 131 losses on settled markets, $5.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? on Nov 4.

Win rate
76%
Return on settled
+5%
Money traded
$188.1K
Typical trade
$139.07
Avg entry
75¢
Polymarket rank
#2,404

Profit over time

+$9.5K-$115.00
Aug 2Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2411%0%-11 pts
20 to 40¢4530%41%+11 pts
40 to 60¢11651%50%-1 pts
60 to 80¢26170%75%+5 pts
Over 80¢34589%89%+0 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $5019859%-$569.92
$50 to $13919874%-$231.34
$139 to $31619887%+$2.5K
$316 to $4.7K19787%+$3.9K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics25681%-$1.5K
Motorsport19576%+$2.5K
US elections4288%+$3.9K
Companies4364%-$922.83
Other politics986%+$256.07
NFL3286%+$1.6K

Side taken

Yes 62%38% No

If you had copied merch

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$92.89
Profit
on $2,400.00 staked
18-6
Record
75% win rate
+4%
Return
16 still open
Profit over time24 settled trades
+$92.89-$152.19
Aug 24Nov 2
-$266.67
Max drawdown
261% below peak
0.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.15×
Profit factor
$692.89 won vs $600.00 lost
+5.2 pts
Edge vs implied
75% won at 70¢ avg
Longest losing streak
2
Deepest drawdown
4 trades

By category

politics9 settled+14%
sports12 settled+12%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

11 open positions worth $13.4K

The markets merch is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what merch is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Nov 4, 15 fills
Yes67¢sold 87¢$5.0K+$2.5K
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Nov 3
Yes77¢$346.50+$103.50
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Nov 3, 2 fills
Yes54¢sold 98¢$107.40+$92.60
See every position across 300 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
    $5.0K on Yes at 67¢, Nov 3
    +$2.5K
  2. 2
    Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
    $1.3K on No at 58¢, May 19
    +$953.40
  3. 3
    Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
    $4.8K on No at 86¢, Jun 4
    +$789.09
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?67¢15100%+$2.5K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?82¢18+$0.00
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?74¢19+$0.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?86¢14100%+$789.09
Will Biden resign before the election?95¢5100%+$147.31

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Dec 2025+$1.3K
Jan 2026+$1.1K
Feb 2026+$232.50
Mar 2026+$1.8K
Apr 2026-$1.9K
May 2026-$3.3K
Jun 2026-$725.95
Jul 2026-$67.93
Aug 2026+$147.52
Sep 2026+$908.98
Oct 2026-$383.85
Nov 2026+$2.6K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position83%
Closed a position17%

Polymarket leaderboards

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