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Stats as of

Manzana698

0x4727000d08134c20086b078d20256a3363d25aa5

+$4.9K
Tracked Trades
27
First Seen
Aug 22, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In World politics
100% won · 10 settled · +$3.0K

Manzana698 is a Polymarket trader with 27 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 16 wins and 0 losses on settled markets, $4.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? on Nov 4.

Win rate
100%
Return on settled
+12%
Money traded
$63.1K
Typical trade
$2.4K
Avg entry
88¢
Polymarket rank
#2,521

Profit over time

+$4.9K+$0.00
Sep 1Nov 1

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
40 to 60¢257%100%+43 pts
60 to 80¢167%100%+33 pts
Over 80¢2490%100%+10 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$723 to $1.4K7100%+$1.1K
$2.0K to $2.4K7100%+$1.7K
$2.5K to $2.7K7100%+$1.2K
$2.7K to $5.0K6100%+$947.44

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics20100%+$3.0K
US elections4100%+$766.84
Commodities1+$0.00
Fed and rates2100%+$1.1K

Side taken

Yes 37%63% No

If you had copied Manzana698

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$160.39
Profit
on $700.00 staked
7-0
Record
100% win rate
+23%
Return
4 still open
Profit over time7 settled trades
+$160.39+$0.00
Aug 17Nov 2

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 7 so far.

By category

politics6 settled+14%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

3 open positions worth $8.3K

The markets Manzana698 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Manzana698 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Nov 1, 4 fills
Yes94¢$12.5K+$766.84
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
Nov 1
No67¢$2.2K+$1.1K
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?
Oct 18
No94¢$2.7K+$178.68
See every position across 11 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
    $10.6K on No at 90¢, Oct 1
    +$1.2K
  2. 2
    US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
    $2.2K on No at 67¢, Nov 1
    +$1.1K
  3. 3
    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $1.4K on Yes at 57¢, Sep 1
    +$1.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?90¢8100%+$1.2K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?94¢4100%+$766.84
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?94¢2100%+$357.44
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?83¢4+$0.00
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?82¢1+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$2.5K
Oct 2026+$846.10
Nov 2026+$1.5K

How they build positions

Opened a new position56%
Closed a position19%
Trimmed a position19%
Added to a position6%

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